Manchester City
Manchester City Champions League Chances 2026 — 100.0%
Premier League 25/26 · Round 38 of 38 · Rank #2 · 38 MP
Live — Updated at
Manchester City are 2nd in the Premier League 25/26 2026 season after 38 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of champions league — with 0 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 25/26 matches, Manchester City have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Manchester City's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-05-19
- Champions League: 100.0%Since 2026-05-03
- Europa League: 0.0%Since 2026-04-12
- Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-11-09
Premier League 25/26 — Competition Races:
← View all Premier League 25/26 standings and odds
See also:
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 |  Aston Villa#4Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-19 | Bournemouth#6 | 1 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-05-13 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 |  Crystal Palace#15 |
| 2026-05-09 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 |  Brentford#9 |
| 2026-05-04 | Everton#13 | 3 - 3 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-22 | Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-19 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-04-12 | Chelsea#10 | 0 - 3 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | West Ham#18Relegation: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-03-04 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 2 |  Nottingham Forest#16 |
| 2026-02-28 | Leeds United#14 | 0 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 1 |  Newcastle#12 |
| 2026-02-11 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 |  Fulham#11 |
| 2026-02-08 | Liverpool#5Europa League: 100.0% | 1 - 2 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-02-01 | Tottenham#17 | 2 - 2 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 |  Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 |  Brighton#8 |
| 2026-01-04 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Chelsea#10 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sunderland#7 | 0 - 0 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-27 | Nottingham Forest#16 | 1 - 2 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | West Ham#18Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-14 | Crystal Palace#15 | 0 - 3 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | Sunderland#7 |
| 2025-12-02 | Fulham#11 | 4 - 5 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 2 | Leeds United#14 |
| 2025-11-22 | Newcastle#12 | 2 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-09 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | Liverpool#5Europa League: 100.0% |
| 2025-11-02 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 1 | Bournemouth#6 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa#4Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 0 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-10-18 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 2 - 0 | Everton#13 |
| 2025-10-05 | Brentford#9 | 0 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-27 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 5 - 1 | Burnley#19Relegation: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-21 | Arsenal#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League: 100.0% | 1 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-09-14 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 3 - 0 | Manchester United#3Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton#8 | 2 - 1 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |
| 2025-08-23 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% | 0 - 2 | Tottenham#17 |
| 2025-08-16 | Wolverhampton#20Relegation: 100.0% | 0 - 4 | Manchester City#2Champions League: 100.0% |