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Bosnia and Herzegovina Knockout Chances 2026 — 56.4%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #30 · 1 MP

How far can Bosnia and Herzegovina go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Bosnia and Herzegovina's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.3%
Winner
43.6%
Group Stage Exit
#30
Position
D
Last 1 matches
Bosnia and Herzegovina are strong contenders for Knockout at 56.4%, currently ranked 30th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Bosnia and Herzegovina are 30th in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 1 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 56.4% chance of knockout — with 86 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 1 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Bosnia and Herzegovina have recorded 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their knockout probability, Bosnia and Herzegovina's winner chance currently stands at 0.3%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Bosnia and Herzegovina's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.3%
  • Final: 0.7%
  • Semifinals: 2.2%
  • Quarterfinals: 9.3%
  • Round of 16: 21.9%
  • Knockout: 56.4%
  • Group Stage Exit: 43.6%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Norway Knockout ChancesCanada Knockout ChancesTurkey Knockout ChancesEgypt Knockout ChancesAustria Knockout ChancesQatar Knockout ChancesAlgeria Knockout ChancesSouth Africa Group Stage Exit ChancesCuraçao Group Stage Exit ChancesSaudi Arabia Group Stage Exit Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Switzerland#12Winner: 2.3%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 13.4%Quarterfinals: 37.9%Round of 16: 60.0%Knockout: 90.7%Group Stage Exit: 9.3%7:00 PMBosnia and Herzegovina#30Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.7%Semifinals: 2.2%Quarterfinals: 9.3%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 56.4%Group Stage Exit: 43.6%
Bosnia and Herzegovina#30Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.7%Semifinals: 2.2%Quarterfinals: 9.3%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 56.4%Group Stage Exit: 43.6%7:00 PMQatar#31Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.8%Semifinals: 2.4%Quarterfinals: 10.1%Round of 16: 22.6%Knockout: 56.0%Group Stage Exit: 44.0%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-12Canada#26Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.1%Semifinals: 3.4%Quarterfinals: 13.1%Round of 16: 27.9%Knockout: 63.2%Group Stage Exit: 36.8%1 - 1Bosnia and Herzegovina#30Winner: 0.3%Final: 0.7%Semifinals: 2.2%Quarterfinals: 9.3%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 56.4%Group Stage Exit: 43.6%