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Saudi Arabia World Cup 2026 — 100.0% Group Stage Exit

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 104 of 94 · Rank #32 · 3 MP

How far can Saudi Arabia go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Saudi Arabia's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
100.0%
Group Stage Exit
#32
Position
DLD
Last 3 matches
Saudi Arabia are the clear favourites for Group Stage Exit at 100.0%, currently ranked 32nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Saudi Arabia are 32nd in the FIFA World Cup 2026 2026 season after 3 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of group stage exit — with -10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 3 FIFA World Cup 2026 matches, Saudi Arabia have recorded 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining FIFA World Cup 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Saudi Arabia's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-06-21
  • Final: 0.0%Since 2026-06-26
  • Semifinals: 0.0%Since 2026-06-26
  • Quarterfinals: 0.0%Since 2026-06-26
  • Round of 16: 0.0%Since 2026-06-26
  • Knockout: 0.0%Since 2026-06-26
  • Group Stage Exit: 100.0%Since 2026-06-26

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Iran Knockout ChancesBelgium Knockout ChancesNew Zealand Knockout ChancesUruguay Knockout ChancesCape Verde Knockout ChancesIraq Group Stage Exit ChancesSenegal Group Stage Exit ChancesNorway Group Stage Exit ChancesFrance Group Stage Exit ChancesAlgeria Group Stage Exit Chances

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-06-26Cape Verde#31Knockout: 100.0%0 - 0Saudi Arabia#32Group Stage Exit: 100.0%
2026-06-21Spain#1Winner: 100.0%Final: 100.0%Semifinals: 100.0%Quarterfinals: 100.0%Round of 16: 100.0%Knockout: 100.0%4 - 0Saudi Arabia#32Group Stage Exit: 100.0%
2026-06-15Saudi Arabia#32Group Stage Exit: 100.0%1 - 1Uruguay#30Group Stage Exit: 100.0%