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FIFA World Cup 2026·2026-07-19·Round 104

Spain Win the 2026 World Cup: A Campaign by the Numbers

By Alberto Ibarra · · Champions

Spain finish the tournament as world champions, closing a seven-match campaign with five wins and two draws, no losses. The group stage produced a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde, a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia, and a 1-0 win at Uruguay, enough to top the group. The knockout stage followed with a 3-0 win over Austria in the round of 32, a 1-0 win over Portugal in the round of 16, a 2-1 win over Belgium in the quarterfinals, and a 2-0 win over France in the semifinal.

The final against Argentina on July 19th produced the tightest scoreline of the run: 1-0. Spain controlled possession and generated the higher shot count through the full ninety minutes but could not convert, leaving the match level into extra time. The turning point came late in the second half, when Argentina had a player sent off, reducing them to ten men for the remainder of the contest. Spain used the numerical advantage to force the breakthrough in extra time, closing out the match 1-0.

The title probability tracks the same story. Spain entered the final at 59.3% against Argentina's 40.7%, after eliminating France 2-0 in the semifinal. That figure is now 100%. Argentina, runners-up, finish at 0% on the same board, their campaign ending one match short of the trophy.

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