Spain#69 · 7 pts finish the tournament as world champions, closing a seven-match campaign with five wins and two draws, no losses. The group stage produced a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde#97 · 3 pts, a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia#101 · 2 pts, and a 1-0 win at Uruguay#100 · 2 pts, enough to top the group. The knockout stage followed with a 3-0 win over Austria#88 · 4 pts in the round of 32, a 1-0 win over Portugal#80 · 5 pts in the round of 16, a 2-1 win over Belgium#82 · 5 pts in the quarterfinals, and a 2-0 win over France#65 · 9 pts in the semifinal.
The final against Argentina#66 · 9 pts on July 19th produced the tightest scoreline of the run: 1-0. Spain#69 · 7 pts controlled possession and generated the higher shot count through the full ninety minutes but could not convert, leaving the match level into extra time. The turning point came late in the second half, when Argentina#66 · 9 pts had a player sent off, reducing them to ten men for the remainder of the contest. Spain#69 · 7 pts used the numerical advantage to force the breakthrough in extra time, closing out the match 1-0.
The title probability tracks the same story. Spain#69 · 7 pts entered the final at 59.3% against Argentina#66 · 9 pts's 40.7%, after eliminating France#65 · 9 pts 2-0 in the semifinal. That figure is now 100%. Argentina#66 · 9 pts, runners-up, finish at 0% on the same board, their campaign ending one match short of the trophy.