Bundesliga Relegation Battle 2026
Bundesliga 2025/26
Every Bundesliga team ranked by their live probability of relegation — our supercomputer runs up to millions of simulations updated live every 10 minutes during every matchday.
Plus Grands Mouvements Ce Tour
↓ Plus grandes baisses
FC Heidenheim
95.2%-3.2%
Relegation Battle — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Heidenheim | 95.2% |
| 2 | St. Pauli | 60.7% |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 44.1% |
| 4 | Bayern München | 0.0% |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | 0.0% |
| 6 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0.0% |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0.0% |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 0.0% |
| 9 | VfB Stuttgart | 0.0% |
| 10 | SC Freiburg | 0.0% |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.0% |
| 12 | FC Augsburg | 0.0% |
| 13 | FSV Mainz | 0.0% |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 0.0% |
| 15 | Union Berlin | 0.0% |
| 16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.0% |
| 17 | FC Köln | 0.0% |
| 18 | SV Werder Bremen | 0.0% |
En direct — mis à jour toutes les 10 minutes pendant chaque matchRound 33
À Propos de Cette Course
The Bundesliga relegation battle is simulated in real time — the team in 16th faces a two-legged playoff, while 17th and 18th go straight down.
Comment Ces Probabilités Sont Calculées
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the relegation places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Voir le tableau complet de Bundesliga 2025/26 →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.