Derby County Promotion Chances
Championship 25/26
Derby County have no remaining chance of promotion according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.0% |
| Promotion | 0.0% |
| Playoff | 18.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Derby County are currently 8th in the Championship 25/26 table with 45 matches played (20W 9D 16L, 69 pts).
🔍 What This Means
Derby County have no remaining mathematical chance of promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Derby County's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Derby County achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Championship 25/26 — Promotion odds for every team
| Coventry City | 100.0% |
| Ipswich Town | 72.7% |
| Millwall | 16.6% |
| Middlesbrough | 7.3% |
| Southampton | 3.4% |
| Wrexham | 0.0% |
| Hull City | 0.0% |
| Norwich City | 0.0% |
| Birmingham City | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Championship 25/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.