São Paulo Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores at 37.1%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 5.8% |
| Libertadores | 37.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 19.2% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 33.5% |
| Relegation | 2.0% |
São Paulo are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 13 matches played (7W 2D 4L, 23 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 37.1%, São Paulo are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 86.9% |
| Flamengo | 64.4% |
| Fluminense | 56.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 31.7% |
| Bahia | 32.3% |
| Coritiba | 16.0% |
| Botafogo | 14.6% |
| Bragantino | 10.1% |
| Vasco | 7.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.