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Manchester City

Manchester City Relegation Chances

Premier League 25/26

28.4%
Winner
99.9%
Champions League
0.0%
Europa League
0.0%
Relegation

Manchester City have no remaining chance of relegation according to the model.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 34Last updated: 4 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner28.4%
Champions League99.9%
Europa League0.0%
Relegation0.0%

Manchester City are currently 2nd in the Premier League 25/26 table with 33 matches played (21W 7D 5L, 70 pts).

🔍 What This Means

Manchester City have no remaining mathematical chance of relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Manchester City's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.

🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Manchester City achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Premier League 25/26Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 25/26 table →

View full Manchester City stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.