Premier League Top 4 Race 2026
Premier League 2025/26
Every Premier League team ranked by their live probability of finishing top 4 and qualifying for the Champions League — updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Maggiori Variazioni in Questo Turno
Top 4 Race — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 100.0% |
| 2 | Manchester City | 100.0% |
| 3 | Manchester United | 100.0% |
| 4 | Liverpool | 58.7% |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 40.5% |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 0.8% |
| 7 | Brighton | 0.0% |
| 8 | Brentford | 0.0% |
| 9 | Chelsea | 0.0% |
| 10 | Everton | 0.0% |
| 11 | Fulham | 0.0% |
| 12 | Sunderland | 0.0% |
| 13 | Newcastle | 0.0% |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 0.0% |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 0.0% |
| 16 | Leeds United | 0.0% |
| 17 | Tottenham | 0.0% |
| 18 | West Ham | 0.0% |
| 19 | Burnley | 0.0% |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 0.0% |
In diretta — aggiornato ogni 10 minuti durante ogni partitaRound 36
Su Questa Corsa
The top four clubs in the Premier League qualify directly for the UEFA Champions League. This model shows the current race in real time.
Come Vengono Calcolate Queste Probabilità
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the Champions League qualification places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Vedi tabella completa di Premier League 2025/26 →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.