Birmingham City Promotion Chances 2026
EFL Championship 2025/26
Birmingham City have no remaining chance of automatic promotion according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Automatic Promotion | 0.0% |
| Promotion Playoff | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Birmingham City are currently 10th in the EFL Championship 2025/26 table with 45 matches played (17W 12D 16L, 63 pts).
🔍 What This Means
Birmingham City have no remaining mathematical chance of automatic promotion. Birmingham's return to the top flight depends on closing the gap to the automatic promotion places. The model simulates every remaining game to estimate their chances.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Birmingham City achieves automatic promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 EFL Championship 2025/26 — promotion odds for every team
| Coventry City | 100.0% |
| Ipswich Town | 72.7% |
| Millwall | 16.6% |
| Middlesbrough | 7.3% |
| Southampton | 3.4% |
| Wrexham | 0.0% |
| Hull City | 0.0% |
| Derby County | 0.0% |
| Norwich City | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full EFL Championship 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.