Middlesbrough Promotion Chances 2026
EFL Championship 2025/26
Middlesbrough are an outside contender for automatic promotion, with a 7.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Automatic Promotion | 7.3% |
| Promotion Playoff | 92.7% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Middlesbrough are currently 4th in the EFL Championship 2025/26 table with 45 matches played (22W 13D 10L, 79 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 7.3%, Middlesbrough are currently a outside contender for automatic promotion. The model factors in Middlesbrough's current points, remaining fixtures, and the performance of every rival in the promotion race to produce a live probability.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Middlesbrough achieves automatic promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 EFL Championship 2025/26 — promotion odds for every team
| Coventry City | 100.0% |
| Ipswich Town | 72.7% |
| Millwall | 16.6% |
| Southampton | 3.4% |
| Wrexham | 0.0% |
| Hull City | 0.0% |
| Derby County | 0.0% |
| Norwich City | 0.0% |
| Birmingham City | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full EFL Championship 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.