Bari
Bari Relegation Chances 2026 — 78.1%
Serie B 25/26 · Round 36 of 38 · Rank #18 · 36 MP
Bari Serie B 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
78.1%
Relegation
#18
Position
LWLLL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
Live — Updated at
Bari are 18th in the Serie B 25/26 2026 season after 36 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 78.1% chance of relegation — with 2 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Serie B 25/26 matches, Bari have recorded 1 win, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Serie B 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Bari's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2025-11-23
- Promotion: 0.0%Since 2025-12-12
- Playoff: 0.0%Since 2026-03-22
- Playout: 20.6%
- Relegation: 78.1%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
52%
21%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0% | 2 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-04-18 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 0 - 3 |  Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8% | 2 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-04-06 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 3 - 1 |  Modena#6Playoff: 99.9% |
| 2026-03-22 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 0 - 3 |  Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4% |
| 2026-03-18 | Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5% | 2 - 1 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-03-14 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 4 - 1 |  Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8% |
| 2026-03-08 | Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3% | 4 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-03-04 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 2 - 1 |  Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0% |
| 2026-02-27 | Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3% | 0 - 2 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-02-21 | Padova#14Playout: 7.5% | 1 - 1 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-02-15 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 2 |  Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 0 - 0 |  Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5% | 2 - 1 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-01-30 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 0 - 3 |  Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-24 | Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0% | 1 - 2 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2026-01-17 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 0 - 1 |  Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9% |
| 2026-01-10 | Carrarese#10Playoff: 12.4% | 1 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-12-27 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 1 | Avellino#8Playoff: 48.0% |
| 2025-12-19 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 2 |  Catanzaro#5Playoff: 99.9% |
| 2025-12-13 | Sudtirol#13Playout: 6.6% | 0 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-12-08 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 1 | Pescara#17Playout: 38.0%Relegation: 60.3% |
| 2025-12-04 | Juve Stabia#7Playoff: 99.9% | 0 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-11-29 | Empoli#16Playout: 55.6%Relegation: 5.0% | 5 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-11-22 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 2 - 3 | Frosinone#3Winner: 7.2%Promotion: 59.5%Playoff: 40.5% |
| 2025-11-07 | Spezia#20Playout: 17.7%Relegation: 82.3% | 1 - 1 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-11-02 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 0 | Cesena#9Playoff: 32.0% |
| 2025-10-26 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 0 | Mantova#11Playoff: 7.5% |
| 2025-10-18 | Reggiana#19Playout: 25.8%Relegation: 73.8% | 3 - 1 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-10-04 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 2 - 1 | Padova#14Playout: 7.5% |
| 2025-09-30 | Virtus Entella#15Playout: 25.9%Relegation: 0.6% | 2 - 2 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-09-27 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 1 | Sampdoria#12Playoff: 0.1%Playout: 2.3% |
| 2025-09-19 | Palermo#4Playoff: 99.9% | 2 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-09-13 | Modena#6Playoff: 99.9% | 3 - 0 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |
| 2025-08-31 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% | 1 - 1 | Monza#2Winner: 5.9%Promotion: 42.2%Playoff: 57.8% |
| 2025-08-24 | Venezia#1Winner: 86.9%Promotion: 98.3%Playoff: 1.7% | 2 - 1 | Bari#18Playout: 20.6%Relegation: 78.1% |