La Liga 2 26/27 — Round 7 of 42
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eibar#1Win: 35.8%Promo: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Releg: 0.2% | 35.8% |
| 2 |  Castellon#2Win: 15.3%Promo: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Releg: 1.4% | 15.3% |
| 3 |  Almeria#3Win: 9.3%Promo: 19.7%Playoff: 33.4%Releg: 2.8% | 9.3% |
| 4 |  Girona#4Win: 5.9%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 5.3% | 5.9% |
| 5 |  Real Oviedo#5Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.9%Playoff: 28.7%Releg: 5.4% | 5.7% |
| 6 |  Sabadell#6Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Releg: 7.4% | 4.1% |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon#7Win: 4.0%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Releg: 7.7% | 4.0% |
| 8 |  Mallorca#9Win: 3.2%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 9.3% | 3.2% |
| 9 |  Burgos CF#10Win: 3.1%Promo: 7.7%Playoff: 22.6%Releg: 9.4% | 3.1% |
| 10 |  Granada#8Win: 3.0%Promo: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Releg: 9.6% | 3.0% |
| 11 |  Valladolid#11Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 16.1%Releg: 16.0% | 1.6% |
| 12 |  Cordoba#12Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Releg: 16.8% | 1.6% |
| 13 |  Real Sociedad B#14Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Releg: 19.6% | 1.2% |
| 14 |  Las Palmas#15Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Releg: 20.0% | 1.2% |
| 15 |  CD Leganés#16Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 21.4% | 1.2% |
| 16 |  Tenerife#13Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.0%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 21.2% | 1.1% |
| 17 |  Celta Vigo B#17Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 10.9%Releg: 25.4% | 0.8% |
| 18 |  Cadiz CF#18Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.9%Playoff: 9.1%Releg: 28.1% | 0.6% |
| 19 |  CD Eldense#19Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.3%Playoff: 7.1%Releg: 34.9% | 0.4% |
| 20 |  AD Ceuta FC#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 6.6%Releg: 36.4% | 0.4% |
| 21 |  Andorra CF#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 41.8% | 0.3% |
| 22 |  Albacete#22Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Releg: 59.7% | 0.1% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar#1Win: 35.8%Promo: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Releg: 0.2% | 53.1% |
| 2 | Castellon#2Win: 15.3%Promo: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Releg: 1.4% | 29.6% |
| 3 | Almeria#3Win: 9.3%Promo: 19.7%Playoff: 33.4%Releg: 2.8% | 19.7% |
| 4 | Girona#4Win: 5.9%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 5.3% | 13.3% |
| 5 | Real Oviedo#5Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.9%Playoff: 28.7%Releg: 5.4% | 12.9% |
| 6 | Sabadell#6Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Releg: 7.4% | 9.6% |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 4.0%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Releg: 7.7% | 9.6% |
| 8 | Mallorca#9Win: 3.2%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 9.3% | 7.8% |
| 9 | Burgos CF#10Win: 3.1%Promo: 7.7%Playoff: 22.6%Releg: 9.4% | 7.7% |
| 10 | Granada#8Win: 3.0%Promo: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Releg: 9.6% | 7.5% |
| 11 | Valladolid#11Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 16.1%Releg: 16.0% | 4.3% |
| 12 | Cordoba#12Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Releg: 16.8% | 4.2% |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B#14Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Releg: 19.6% | 3.3% |
| 14 | Las Palmas#15Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Releg: 20.0% | 3.3% |
| 15 | CD Leganés#16Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 21.4% | 3.1% |
| 16 | Tenerife#13Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.0%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 21.2% | 3.0% |
| 17 | Celta Vigo B#17Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 10.9%Releg: 25.4% | 2.3% |
| 18 | Cadiz CF#18Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.9%Playoff: 9.1%Releg: 28.1% | 1.9% |
| 19 | CD Eldense#19Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.3%Playoff: 7.1%Releg: 34.9% | 1.3% |
| 20 | AD Ceuta FC#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 6.6%Releg: 36.4% | 1.2% |
| 21 | Andorra CF#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 41.8% | 0.9% |
| 22 | Albacete#22Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Releg: 59.7% | 0.3% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellon#2Win: 15.3%Promo: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Releg: 1.4% | 35.5% |
| 2 | Almeria#3Win: 9.3%Promo: 19.7%Playoff: 33.4%Releg: 2.8% | 33.4% |
| 3 | Eibar#1Win: 35.8%Promo: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Releg: 0.2% | 30.2% |
| 4 | Girona#4Win: 5.9%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 5.3% | 29.0% |
| 5 | Real Oviedo#5Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.9%Playoff: 28.7%Releg: 5.4% | 28.7% |
| 6 | Sabadell#6Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Releg: 7.4% | 25.7% |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 4.0%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Releg: 7.7% | 24.6% |
| 8 | Mallorca#9Win: 3.2%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 9.3% | 22.9% |
| 9 | Burgos CF#10Win: 3.1%Promo: 7.7%Playoff: 22.6%Releg: 9.4% | 22.6% |
| 10 | Granada#8Win: 3.0%Promo: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Releg: 9.6% | 22.3% |
| 11 | Valladolid#11Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 16.1%Releg: 16.0% | 16.1% |
| 12 | Cordoba#12Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Releg: 16.8% | 15.5% |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B#14Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Releg: 19.6% | 13.4% |
| 14 | Las Palmas#15Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Releg: 20.0% | 13.2% |
| 15 | Tenerife#13Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.0%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 21.2% | 12.9% |
| 16 | CD Leganés#16Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 21.4% | 12.7% |
| 17 | Celta Vigo B#17Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 10.9%Releg: 25.4% | 10.9% |
| 18 | Cadiz CF#18Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.9%Playoff: 9.1%Releg: 28.1% | 9.1% |
| 19 | CD Eldense#19Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.3%Playoff: 7.1%Releg: 34.9% | 7.1% |
| 20 | AD Ceuta FC#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 6.6%Releg: 36.4% | 6.6% |
| 21 | Andorra CF#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 41.8% | 5.2% |
| 22 | Albacete#22Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Releg: 59.7% | 2.3% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albacete#22Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Releg: 59.7% | 59.7% |
| 2 | Andorra CF#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 41.8% | 41.8% |
| 3 | AD Ceuta FC#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 6.6%Releg: 36.4% | 36.4% |
| 4 | CD Eldense#19Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.3%Playoff: 7.1%Releg: 34.9% | 34.9% |
| 5 | Cadiz CF#18Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.9%Playoff: 9.1%Releg: 28.1% | 28.1% |
| 6 | Celta Vigo B#17Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 10.9%Releg: 25.4% | 25.4% |
| 7 | CD Leganés#16Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 21.4% | 21.4% |
| 8 | Tenerife#13Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.0%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 21.2% | 21.2% |
| 9 | Las Palmas#15Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Releg: 20.0% | 20.0% |
| 10 | Real Sociedad B#14Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Releg: 19.6% | 19.6% |
| 11 | Cordoba#12Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Releg: 16.8% | 16.8% |
| 12 | Valladolid#11Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 16.1%Releg: 16.0% | 16.0% |
| 13 | Granada#8Win: 3.0%Promo: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Releg: 9.6% | 9.6% |
| 14 | Burgos CF#10Win: 3.1%Promo: 7.7%Playoff: 22.6%Releg: 9.4% | 9.4% |
| 15 | Mallorca#9Win: 3.2%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 9.3% | 9.3% |
| 16 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 4.0%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Releg: 7.7% | 7.7% |
| 17 | Sabadell#6Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Releg: 7.4% | 7.4% |
| 18 | Real Oviedo#5Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.9%Playoff: 28.7%Releg: 5.4% | 5.4% |
| 19 | Girona#4Win: 5.9%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 5.3% | 5.3% |
| 20 | Almeria#3Win: 9.3%Promo: 19.7%Playoff: 33.4%Releg: 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 21 | Castellon#2Win: 15.3%Promo: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Releg: 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 22 | Eibar#1Win: 35.8%Promo: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Releg: 0.2% | 0.2% |
Round 7 of 42
Table
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | Promo | PO | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eibar#1Win: 35.8%Promo: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Releg: 0.2% | 7 | 21 | 36% | 53% | 30% | 0% |
2 | Castellon#2Win: 15.3%Promo: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Releg: 1.4% | 7 | 17 | 15% | 30% | 36% | 1% |
3↑1 | Almeria#3Win: 9.3%Promo: 19.7%Playoff: 33.4%Releg: 2.8% | 7 | 15 | 9% | 20% | 33% | 3% |
4↓1 | Girona#4Win: 5.9%Promo: 13.3%Playoff: 29.0%Releg: 5.3% | 7 | 13 | 6% | 13% | 29% | 5% |
5↑3 | Real Oviedo#5Win: 5.7%Promo: 12.9%Playoff: 28.7%Releg: 5.4% | 7 | 13 | 6% | 13% | 29% | 5% |
6 | Sabadell#6Win: 4.1%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Releg: 7.4% | 7 | 12 | 4% | 10% | 26% | 7% |
7↑2 | Sporting Gijon#7Win: 4.0%Promo: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Releg: 7.7% | 7 | 12 | 4% | 10% | 25% | 8% |
8↑3 | Granada#8Win: 3.0%Promo: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Releg: 9.6% | 7 | 11 | 3% | 8% | 22% | 10% |
9↓2 | Mallorca#9Win: 3.2%Promo: 7.8%Playoff: 22.9%Releg: 9.3% | 7 | 11 | 3% | 8% | 23% | 9% |
10↓5 | Burgos CF#10Win: 3.1%Promo: 7.7%Playoff: 22.6%Releg: 9.4% | 7 | 11 | 3% | 8% | 23% | 9% |
11↑3 | Real Valladolid#11Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.3%Playoff: 16.1%Releg: 16.0% | 7 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 16% | 16% |
12↑5 | Cordoba#12Win: 1.6%Promo: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Releg: 16.8% | 7 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 16% | 17% |
13↓3 | Tenerife#13Win: 1.1%Promo: 3.0%Playoff: 12.9%Releg: 21.2% | 7 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 13% | 21% |
14↓2 | Real Sociedad B#14Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Releg: 19.6% | 7 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 13% | 20% |
15 | Las Palmas#15Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Releg: 20.0% | 7 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 13% | 20% |
16↓3 | CD Leganés#16Win: 1.2%Promo: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Releg: 21.4% | 7 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 13% | 21% |
17↓1 | Celta Vigo B#17Win: 0.8%Promo: 2.3%Playoff: 10.9%Releg: 25.4% | 7 | 7 | 1% | 2% | 11% | 25% |
18↑2 | Cadiz CF#18Win: 0.6%Promo: 1.9%Playoff: 9.1%Releg: 28.1% | 7 | 6 | 1% | 2% | 9% | 28% |
19↓1 | CD Eldense#19Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.3%Playoff: 7.1%Releg: 34.9% | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 35% |
20↓1 | AD Ceuta FC#20Win: 0.4%Promo: 1.2%Playoff: 6.6%Releg: 36.4% | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 36% |
21 | Andorra CF#21Win: 0.3%Promo: 0.9%Playoff: 5.2%Releg: 41.8% | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1% | 5% | 42% |
22 | Albacete#22Win: 0.1%Promo: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Releg: 59.7% | 7 | 1 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 60% |
WinPromoPlayoffReleg
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
AD Ceuta FC#20Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.2%Playoff: 6.6%Relegation: 36.4%2:15 PMSabadell#6Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Relegation: 7.4%
2:15 PMSabadell#6Winner: 4.1%Promotion: 9.6%Playoff: 25.7%Relegation: 7.4%16%
59%
CD Eldense#19Winner: 0.4%Promotion: 1.3%Playoff: 7.1%Relegation: 34.9%4:30 PMCordoba#12Winner: 1.6%Promotion: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Relegation: 16.8%
4:30 PMCordoba#12Winner: 1.6%Promotion: 4.2%Playoff: 15.5%Relegation: 16.8%13%
66%
Celta Vigo B#17Winner: 0.8%Promotion: 2.3%Playoff: 10.9%Relegation: 25.4%7:00 PMReal Sociedad B#14Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Relegation: 19.6%
7:00 PMReal Sociedad B#14Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.3%Playoff: 13.4%Relegation: 19.6%21%
53%
Andorra CF#21Winner: 0.3%Promotion: 0.9%Playoff: 5.2%Relegation: 41.8%12:00 PMCastellon#2Winner: 15.3%Promotion: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Relegation: 1.4%
12:00 PMCastellon#2Winner: 15.3%Promotion: 29.6%Playoff: 35.5%Relegation: 1.4%38%
33%
Almeria#3Winner: 9.3%Promotion: 19.7%Playoff: 33.4%Relegation: 2.8%2:15 PMCD Leganés#16Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Relegation: 21.4%
2:15 PMCD Leganés#16Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.1%Playoff: 12.7%Relegation: 21.4%84%
4%
Mallorca#9Winner: 3.2%Promotion: 7.8%Playoff: 22.9%Relegation: 9.3%4:30 PMLas Palmas#15Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Relegation: 20.0%
4:30 PMLas Palmas#15Winner: 1.2%Promotion: 3.3%Playoff: 13.2%Relegation: 20.0%39%
31%
Cadiz CF#18Winner: 0.6%Promotion: 1.9%Playoff: 9.1%Relegation: 28.1%7:00 PMSporting Gijon#7Winner: 4.0%Promotion: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Relegation: 7.7%
7:00 PMSporting Gijon#7Winner: 4.0%Promotion: 9.6%Playoff: 24.6%Relegation: 7.7%21%
51%
Valladolid#11Winner: 1.6%Promotion: 4.3%Playoff: 16.1%Relegation: 16.0%12:00 PMAlbacete#22Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Relegation: 59.7%
12:00 PMAlbacete#22Winner: 0.1%Promotion: 0.3%Playoff: 2.3%Relegation: 59.7%22%
53%
Burgos CF#10Winner: 3.1%Promotion: 7.7%Playoff: 22.6%Relegation: 9.4%2:15 PMGranada#8Winner: 3.0%Promotion: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Relegation: 9.6%
2:15 PMGranada#8Winner: 3.0%Promotion: 7.5%Playoff: 22.3%Relegation: 9.6%74%
9%
Real Oviedo#5Winner: 5.7%Promotion: 12.9%Playoff: 28.7%Relegation: 5.4%4:30 PMEibar#1Winner: 35.8%Promotion: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Relegation: 0.2%
4:30 PMEibar#1Winner: 35.8%Promotion: 53.1%Playoff: 30.2%Relegation: 0.2%76%
7%
After Round 7: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Almeria's Promo probability dropped from 43.7% to 19.7% (-24%).
- ↓Castellon's Promo probability dropped from 46.5% to 29.6% (-16.9%).
- ↑Sporting Gijon's Playoff probability climbed from 7.7% to 24.6% (+16.9%).
- ↓Real Sociedad B's Releg probability dropped from 34.6% to 19.6% (-15%).
- ↓Burgos CF's Playoff probability dropped from 36.9% to 22.6% (-14.3%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
La Liga 2 26/27 — Season Outlook
Win:
Promo:
Playoff:
La Liga 2 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the La Liga 2 26/27?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Eibar currently have the highest title probability at 36%. With 35 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 2 26/27?
- Albacete currently faces the highest relegation risk at 60%, followed by Andorra CF at 42%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate La Liga 2 26/27 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the La Liga 2 26/27 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
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