Rayo Vallecano Relegation Chances 2026
La Liga 2025/26
Rayo Vallecano have no remaining chance of relegation from La Liga according to the model.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Relegation | 0.0% |
| Europa League | 0.0% |
| Champions League | 0.0% |
| Title | 0.0% |
Rayo Vallecano are currently 8th in the La Liga 2025/26 table with 38 matches played (12W 14D 12L, 50 pts).
🔍 What This Means
Rayo Vallecano have no remaining mathematical chance of relegation from La Liga. The model weights Rayo's points, goal difference, and remaining fixtures against every other team in the relegation battle to compute an accurate probability.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Rayo Vallecano achieves relegation from La Liga across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 La Liga 2025/26 — relegation odds for every team
| Barcelona | 0.0% |
| Real Madrid | 0.0% |
| Villarreal | 0.0% |
| Atlético de Madrid | 0.0% |
| Betis | 0.0% |
| Celta | 0.0% |
| Getafe | 0.0% |
| Valencia | 0.0% |
| Real Sociedad | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 2025/26 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.