São Bernardo Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
São Bernardo are an outside contender for promotion, with a 7.5% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.6% |
| Promotion | 7.5% |
| Relegation | 6.2% |
São Bernardo are currently 12th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (8W 6D 8L, 30 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 7.5%, São Bernardo are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Bernardo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, São Bernardo's probability of promotion has dropped from 12.8% to 7.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Bernardo achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Criciúma | 85.5% |
| Juventude | 61.6% |
| Vila Nova | 46.7% |
| Fortaleza | 36.9% |
| Operário-PR | 30.1% |
| Sport | 27.3% |
| Novorizontino | 24.1% |
| Athletic Club | 21.5% |
| CRB | 17.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.