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Belgium Knockout Chances 2026 — 96.5%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 8 of 94 · Rank #2 · 0 MP

How far can Belgium go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Belgium's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 14, 2026

Belgium FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
11.6%
Winner
3.5%
Group Stage Exit
#2
Position
Belgium are the clear favourites for Knockout at 96.5%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 11.6%
  • Final: 16.6%
  • Semifinals: 30.7%
  • Quarterfinals: 40.5%
  • Round of 16: 69.3%
  • Knockout: 96.5%
  • Group Stage Exit: 3.5%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

France Winner ChancesBrazil Semifinals ChancesGermany Semifinals ChancesArgentina Quarterfinals ChancesUnited States Quarterfinals ChancesEngland Quarterfinals Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Belgium#2Winner: 11.6%Final: 16.6%Semifinals: 30.7%Quarterfinals: 40.5%Round of 16: 69.3%Knockout: 96.5%Group Stage Exit: 3.5%7:00 PMEgypt#28Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.2%Semifinals: 4.8%Quarterfinals: 9.8%Round of 16: 26.6%Knockout: 82.3%Group Stage Exit: 17.7%
Belgium#2Winner: 11.6%Final: 16.6%Semifinals: 30.7%Quarterfinals: 40.5%Round of 16: 69.3%Knockout: 96.5%Group Stage Exit: 3.5%7:00 PMIran#45Semifinals: 0.2%Quarterfinals: 0.6%Round of 16: 2.6%Knockout: 17.9%Group Stage Exit: 82.1%
New Zealand#46Final: 0.2%Semifinals: 1.1%Quarterfinals: 3.2%Round of 16: 12.9%Knockout: 64.8%Group Stage Exit: 35.2%3:00 AMBelgium#2Winner: 11.6%Final: 16.6%Semifinals: 30.7%Quarterfinals: 40.5%Round of 16: 69.3%Knockout: 96.5%Group Stage Exit: 3.5%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway