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Portugal Knockout Chances 2026 — 93.1%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #10 · 0 MP

How far can Portugal go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Portugal's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Portugal FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
3.7%
Winner
6.9%
Group Stage Exit
#10
Position
Portugal are the clear favourites for Knockout at 93.1%, currently ranked 10th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 3.7%
  • Final: 7.0%
  • Semifinals: 17.3%
  • Quarterfinals: 36.1%
  • Round of 16: 68.1%
  • Knockout: 93.1%
  • Group Stage Exit: 6.9%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Argentina Quarterfinals ChancesUnited States Quarterfinals ChancesNetherlands Quarterfinals ChancesEngland Quarterfinals ChancesMexico Round of 16 ChancesSpain Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Portugal#10Winner: 3.7%Final: 7.0%Semifinals: 17.3%Quarterfinals: 36.1%Round of 16: 68.1%Knockout: 93.1%Group Stage Exit: 6.9%5:00 PMDR Congo#48Semifinals: 0.4%Quarterfinals: 1.2%Round of 16: 4.2%Knockout: 17.2%Group Stage Exit: 82.8%
Portugal#10Winner: 3.7%Final: 7.0%Semifinals: 17.3%Quarterfinals: 36.1%Round of 16: 68.1%Knockout: 93.1%Group Stage Exit: 6.9%5:00 PMUzbekistan#39Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 2.1%Quarterfinals: 5.7%Round of 16: 17.4%Knockout: 52.5%Group Stage Exit: 47.5%
Colombia#13Winner: 1.8%Final: 4.0%Semifinals: 12.2%Quarterfinals: 27.9%Round of 16: 58.3%Knockout: 88.5%Group Stage Exit: 11.5%11:30 PMPortugal#10Winner: 3.7%Final: 7.0%Semifinals: 17.3%Quarterfinals: 36.1%Round of 16: 68.1%Knockout: 93.1%Group Stage Exit: 6.9%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway