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Spain Knockout Chances 2026 — 94.7%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #11 · 0 MP

How far can Spain go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Spain's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Spain FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
3.2%
Winner
5.3%
Group Stage Exit
#11
Position
Spain are the clear favourites for Knockout at 94.7%, currently ranked 11th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 3.2%
  • Final: 5.6%
  • Semifinals: 12.6%
  • Quarterfinals: 25.7%
  • Round of 16: 60.3%
  • Knockout: 94.7%
  • Group Stage Exit: 5.3%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

United States Quarterfinals ChancesNetherlands Quarterfinals ChancesEngland Quarterfinals ChancesMexico Round of 16 ChancesPortugal Round of 16 ChancesSwitzerland Round of 16 ChancesColombia Round of 16 ChancesCroatia Round of 16 ChancesSenegal Round of 16 ChancesUruguay Round of 16 Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Spain#11Winner: 3.2%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 12.6%Quarterfinals: 25.7%Round of 16: 60.3%Knockout: 94.7%Group Stage Exit: 5.3%4:00 PMCape Verde#44Semifinals: 0.1%Quarterfinals: 0.6%Round of 16: 2.9%Knockout: 21.6%Group Stage Exit: 78.4%
Spain#11Winner: 3.2%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 12.6%Quarterfinals: 25.7%Round of 16: 60.3%Knockout: 94.7%Group Stage Exit: 5.3%4:00 PMSaudi Arabia#37Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.4%Semifinals: 1.7%Quarterfinals: 5.6%Round of 16: 19.7%Knockout: 65.6%Group Stage Exit: 34.4%
Uruguay#16Winner: 1.5%Final: 3.2%Semifinals: 8.6%Quarterfinals: 19.7%Round of 16: 51.1%Knockout: 91.3%Group Stage Exit: 8.7%12:00 AMSpain#11Winner: 3.2%Final: 5.6%Semifinals: 12.6%Quarterfinals: 25.7%Round of 16: 60.3%Knockout: 94.7%Group Stage Exit: 5.3%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway