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Fluminense

Fluminense Relegation Chances

Brasileirão 2026

12.6%
Winner
56.4%
Libertadores
17.6%
Libertadores Qualification
22.0%
Copa Sulamericana
0.5%
↓ -0.9% since last round
Relegation

Fluminense face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.5% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 13Last updated: 1 day ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner12.6%
Libertadores56.4%
Libertadores Qualification17.6%
Copa Sulamericana22.0%
Relegation0.5%

Fluminense are currently 3rd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 13 matches played (8W 2D 3L, 26 pts).

🔍 What This Means

At 0.5%, Fluminense are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fluminense's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.

🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fluminense achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileirão 2026Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →

View full Fluminense stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.