São Paulo Relegation Chances
Brasileirão 2026
São Paulo face long odds for relegation, with only a 2.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 5.8% |
| Libertadores | 37.1% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 19.2% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 33.5% |
| Relegation | 2.0% |
São Paulo are currently 4th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 13 matches played (7W 2D 4L, 23 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 2%, São Paulo are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See São Paulo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often São Paulo achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.3% |
| Fluminense | 0.5% |
| Athletico-PR | 2.8% |
| Bahia | 3.0% |
| Coritiba | 8.3% |
| Botafogo | 10.1% |
| Bragantino | 13.9% |
| Vasco | 18.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.