Serie A Relegation Battle 2026
Serie A 2025/26
Every Serie A team ranked by their live probability of relegation, based on thousands of Monte Carlo simulations updated live every 10 minutes during every matchday.
Mayores Cambios en Esta Jornada
Relegation Battle — Live Probabilities
| # | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hellas Verona | 100.0% |
| 2 | Pisa | 100.0% |
| 3 | Cremonese | 74.3% |
| 4 | Lecce | 25.7% |
| 5 | Inter | 0.0% |
| 6 | Napoli | 0.0% |
| 7 | Milan | 0.0% |
| 8 | Roma | 0.0% |
| 9 | Como | 0.0% |
| 10 | Juventus | 0.0% |
| 11 | Atalanta | 0.0% |
| 12 | Lazio | 0.0% |
| 13 | Bologna | 0.0% |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 0.0% |
| 15 | Udinese | 0.0% |
| 16 | Torino | 0.0% |
| 17 | Parma | 0.0% |
| 18 | Genoa | 0.0% |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 0.0% |
| 20 | Cagliari | 0.0% |
En vivo — actualizado cada 10 minutos durante cada partidoRound 36
Sobre Esta Lucha
In Serie A, the bottom three go down — the model simulates the rest of the season to show which teams are most at risk.
Cómo Se Calculan Estas Probabilidades
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out every remaining fixture and counts how often each team ends up in the relegation places. The percentages shown reflect those simulated outcomes, updated live every 10 minutes during every match.
Ver tabla completa de Serie A 2025/26 →
Full standings, match results, and all team probability charts.