Chapecoense Relegation Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Chapecoense are strong contenders for relegation from the Brasileirão, sitting at 68.3%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Análise Completa de Probabilidades
| Relegation | 68.3% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 10.3% |
| Libertadores | 0.5% |
| Title | 0.0% |
Chapecoense are currently 20th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 13 matches played (1W 5D 7L, 8 pts).
🔍 O Que Isso Significa
At 68.3%, Chapecoense are currently a strong contender for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model simulates every remaining Brasileirão fixture to estimate how often Chapecoense finish inside the bottom four and face the drop.
Como Estas Probabilidades São Calculadas
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Chapecoense achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — probabilidades de relegation para todos os times
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.4% |
| Fluminense | 1.0% |
| São Paulo | 2.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 3.4% |
| Bahia | 5.1% |
| Bragantino | 9.0% |
| Coritiba | 13.5% |
| Cruzeiro | 17.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. Ver tabela completa de Brasileirão 2026 →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.