Chapecoense Relegation Chances 2026
Brasileirão 2026
Chapecoense are strong contenders for relegation from the Brasileirão, sitting at 58.7%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Relegation | 58.7% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 14.5% |
| Libertadores | 0.8% |
| Title | 0.0% |
Chapecoense are currently 20th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 12 matches played (1W 5D 6L, 8 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 58.7%, Chapecoense are currently a strong contender for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model simulates every remaining Brasileirão fixture to estimate how often Chapecoense finish inside the bottom four and face the drop.
🤖 How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations after every round of matches. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Chapecoense achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — relegation odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 0.3% |
| Fluminense | 0.5% |
| São Paulo | 2.0% |
| Athletico-PR | 2.8% |
| Bahia | 3.0% |
| Coritiba | 8.3% |
| Botafogo | 10.1% |
| Bragantino | 13.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.