Chapecoense Relegation Chances 2026

Full Probability Breakdown

Chapecoense are currently 20th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 33 matches played (4W 9D 20L, 21 pts).

Probability History

What This Means

At 100%, Chapecoense are currently a strong contender for relegation from the Brasileirão. The model simulates every remaining Brasileirão fixture to estimate how often Chapecoense finish inside the bottom four and face the drop. Chapecoense's probability of relegation from the Brasileirão has held steady around 100% over the last round.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs hundreds of thousands of Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures with a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference and recent form. The percentage shown is how often Chapecoense achieves relegation from the Brasileirão across all those simulated seasons, and it updates automatically.

Brasileirão 2026: relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →