Brasileirão 2026 Round 3

Updated at 12-02-2026 06:44

Probability of Winning the Championship

#	Team	Probs
1	Bragantino	10.2%
2	Bahia	8.9%
3	São Paulo	8.7%
4	Athletico-PR	7.6%
5	Fluminense	6.6%
6	Palmeiras	6.5%
7	Chapecoense	5.7%
8	Mirassol	5.7%
9	Botafogo	5.3%
10	Coritiba	4.4%
11	Flamengo	4.4%
12	Corinthians	3.6%
13	Grêmio	3.4%
14	Vitória	3.3%
15	Internacional	3.1%
16	Santos	3.1%
17	Remo	2.7%
18	Atlético-MG	2.6%
19	Vasco	2.0%
20	Cruzeiro	2.0%

Probability of access to Libertadores Group Phase

#	Team	Probs
1	Bragantino	33.3%
2	Bahia	31.0%
3	São Paulo	30.6%
4	Athletico-PR	27.0%
5	Palmeiras	24.8%
6	Fluminense	24.8%
7	Chapecoense	22.7%
8	Mirassol	22.7%
9	Botafogo	21.0%
10	Coritiba	19.1%
11	Flamengo	19.1%
12	Corinthians	16.2%
13	Grêmio	15.8%
14	Vitória	15.8%
15	Internacional	14.5%
16	Santos	14.5%
17	Atlético-MG	13.1%
18	Remo	12.9%
19	Vasco	10.6%
20	Cruzeiro	10.6%

Probability of access to Libertadores Qualification Phase

#	Team	Probs
1	São Paulo	12.6%
2	Bahia	12.6%
3	Bragantino	12.6%
4	Athletico-PR	11.6%
5	Palmeiras	11.2%
6	Fluminense	11.2%
7	Mirassol	11.0%
8	Chapecoense	10.9%
9	Botafogo	10.6%
10	Coritiba	10.2%
11	Flamengo	10.0%
12	Grêmio	9.5%
13	Vitória	9.1%
14	Corinthians	8.9%
15	Santos	8.7%
16	Internacional	8.5%
17	Atlético-MG	8.2%
18	Remo	8.2%
19	Cruzeiro	7.3%
20	Vasco	7.2%

Probability of access to Copa Sulamericana

#	Team	Probs
1	Chapecoense	31.6%
2	Mirassol	31.5%
3	Flamengo	31.1%
4	Palmeiras	31.0%
5	Fluminense	31.0%
6	Bahia	30.8%
7	Coritiba	30.8%
8	São Paulo	30.7%
9	Botafogo	30.7%
10	Grêmio	30.3%
11	Vitória	30.3%
12	Athletico-PR	30.1%
13	Bragantino	29.7%
14	Internacional	29.5%
15	Corinthians	29.4%
16	Santos	29.2%
17	Atlético-MG	29.0%
18	Remo	28.9%
19	Cruzeiro	27.3%
20	Vasco	27.0%

Probability of being relegated to Series B at the end of the championship

#	Team	Probs
1	Vasco	31.6%
2	Cruzeiro	31.4%
3	Remo	27.0%
4	Atlético-MG	26.9%
5	Santos	25.6%
6	Internacional	25.4%
7	Corinthians	23.9%
8	Vitória	23.1%
9	Grêmio	22.8%
10	Coritiba	19.3%
11	Flamengo	19.2%
12	Botafogo	18.1%
13	Chapecoense	15.9%
14	Mirassol	15.7%
15	Palmeiras	14.9%
16	Fluminense	14.9%
17	Athletico-PR	14.0%
18	São Paulo	10.5%
19	Bahia	10.3%
20	Bragantino	9.8%

Round 3 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD
1	São Paulo	7	2	1	0	5	2	3
2	Bahia	7	2	1	0	4	2	2
3	Bragantino	6	2	0	0	2	0	2
4	Chapecoense	5	1	2	0	8	6	2
5	Mirassol	5	1	2	0	6	5	1
6	Palmeiras	4	1	1	0	7	3	4
7	Fluminense	4	1	1	0	3	2	1
8	Coritiba	4	1	1	1	5	5	0
9	Flamengo	4	1	1	1	4	4	0
10	Botafogo	3	1	0	1	7	5	2
11	Athletico-PR	3	1	0	0	1	0	1
12	Grêmio	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1
13	Vitória	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3
14	Atlético-MG	2	0	2	1	5	6	-1
15	Remo	2	0	2	1	5	7	-2
16	Internacional	1	0	1	1	1	2	-1
17	Santos	1	0	1	1	3	5	-2
18	Vasco	1	0	1	2	2	4	-2
19	Cruzeiro	1	0	1	2	3	8	-5
20	Corinthians	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1