Skip to main content

Grêmio logoGrêmio

Grêmio Releg Chances 2026: 59.4%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #18 · 34 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Grêmio Brasileirão 2026: Key Insights
0.0%
Win
59.4%
Releg
#18
Position
DLWWL
Last 5 matches
Grêmio are strong contenders for Releg at 59.4%, currently ranked 18th, updated after every match.

Updated at

Grêmio are 18th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 59.4% chance of releg. With 4 rounds still to play, the final table is far from settled.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Grêmio have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs hundreds of thousands of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures, taking in every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Grêmio's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
  • Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
  • Pre-Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-20
  • Sulamericana: 3.2%
  • Releg: 59.4%

Brasileirão 2026: Competition Races

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Vasco 2026 Season OddsMirassol 2026 Season OddsVitória 2026 Season OddsInternacional 2026 Season OddsCorinthians Releg ChancesRemo Releg ChancesChapecoense Releg Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%12:30 AMBahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4%
42%27%31%
Santos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%12:00 AMGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
49%29%22%
Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3%3:00 PMGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
44%32%23%
Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%3:00 PMMirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%
50%27%23%

Latest News

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Relegation Threatens Grêmio

Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Relegation Threatens Grêmio

Round-up
2026-11-04

Flamengo's probability of winning the Brasileirão increased from 79.0% to 89.4% following their 3-1 victory over Grêmio. This win keeps Flamengo at the top of t…

Grêmio and Palmeiras Shine in Semifinal First Legs

Grêmio and Palmeiras Shine in Semifinal First Legs

Round-up
2026-11-01

The Copa do Brasil semifinals burst open with a dazzling display from Grêmio and Palmeiras, each carving out a crucial victory in their respective first-leg enc…

Quarterfinals — Leg 2 — Saturday, October 31, 2026

Knockout Preview
2026-10-31

Palmeiras vs Vasco sets the stage for a critical semifinal encounter. Palmeiras holds a 58.8% probability of advancing, making them the marginal favorites. Vasc…

Flamengo Soars While Cruzeiro Eyes Libertadores

Flamengo Soars While Cruzeiro Eyes Libertadores

Round-up
2026-10-29

In a thrilling set of matches in Round 33 of the Brasileirão, Flamengo asserted their dominance with a commanding 4-1 victory over Vasco, solidifying their top …

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-11-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%3 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-11-01Copa do BrasilGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 0Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%
2026-10-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 0Athletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%
2026-10-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3%0 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-10-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 4Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-10-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 1Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%
2026-10-07Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo#19Releg: 100.0%1 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-09-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1%3 - 2Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-09-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 2Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%
2026-09-07Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-09-03Copa do BrasilGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%3 - 1Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%3 - 1Chapecoense#20Releg: 100.0%
2026-08-27Copa do BrasilInternacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%0 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7%1 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%3 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-08-08Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 1São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 0Mirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilMirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%1 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 1Fluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%
2026-07-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 3Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3%
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%3 - 2Santos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4%1 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-05-14Copa do BrasilConfiança0 - 3Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%0 - 1Flamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%0 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 0Coritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3%
2026-04-21Copa do BrasilGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 0Confiança
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2%2 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-04-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%0 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%0 - 0Remo#19Releg: 100.0%
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-03-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AChapecoense#20Releg: 100.0%1 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%1 - 1Bragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 1Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%
2026-02-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%2 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%5 - 3Botafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%