Skip to main content

Grêmio logoGrêmio

Grêmio Copa Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 35.7%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 15 of 38 · Rank #15 · 14 MP

Grêmio Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.5%
Winner
21.3%
Relegation
#15
Position
DDLWD
Last 5 matches
Grêmio are in realistic contention for Copa Sulamericana at 35.7%, currently ranked 15th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Grêmio are 15th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 14 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 35.7% chance of copa sulamericana — with 23 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Grêmio have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their copa sulamericana probability, Grêmio's winner chance currently stands at 0.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Grêmio's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.5%
  • Libertadores: 7.3%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%
  • Relegation: 21.3%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Vitória Copa Sulamericana ChancesInternacional Copa Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Copa Sulamericana ChancesAtlético-MG 2026 Season OddsVasco 2026 Season OddsSantos 2026 Season OddsCorinthians Relegation ChancesMirassol Relegation ChancesRemo Relegation ChancesChapecoense Relegation Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%10:30 PMFlamengo#2Winner: 19.8%Libertadores: 65.5%Libertadores Qualification: 14.6%Copa Sulamericana: 16.9%Relegation: 0.4%
51%
24%
Bahia#6Winner: 3.1%Libertadores: 25.4%Libertadores Qualification: 16.8%Copa Sulamericana: 38.6%Relegation: 5.1%7:00 PMGrêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
46%
32%
Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%10:00 PMSantos#16Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.9%Libertadores Qualification: 5.2%Copa Sulamericana: 28.6%Relegation: 32.8%
51%
24%
Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%3:00 PMCorinthians#17Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Libertadores Qualification: 5.2%Copa Sulamericana: 28.5%Relegation: 33.1%
51%
24%
Mirassol#18Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 2.6%Libertadores Qualification: 3.7%Copa Sulamericana: 23.4%Relegation: 41.9%3:00 PMGrêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
25%
52%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-02Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%0 - 0Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-04-26Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%1 - 0Coritiba#8Winner: 1.0%Libertadores: 11.1%Libertadores Qualification: 11.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.2%Relegation: 13.5%
2026-04-18Cruzeiro#9Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.6%Libertadores Qualification: 9.2%Copa Sulamericana: 37.9%Relegation: 17.8%2 - 0Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-04-11Internacional#11Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 6.2%Libertadores Qualification: 7.7%Copa Sulamericana: 35.2%Relegation: 22.5%0 - 0Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-04-05Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%0 - 0Remo#19Libertadores: 0.9%Libertadores Qualification: 1.7%Copa Sulamericana: 14.6%Relegation: 58.4%
2026-04-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 48.9%Libertadores: 87.9%Libertadores Qualification: 6.9%Copa Sulamericana: 4.9%2 - 1Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-03-22Vasco#14Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.4%Copa Sulamericana: 35.8%Relegation: 21.1%2 - 1Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-03-19Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%2 - 0Vitória#10Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 12.6%Libertadores Qualification: 11.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.7%Relegation: 12.9%
2026-03-16Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.5%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 10.3%Relegation: 68.3%1 - 1Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-03-12Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%1 - 1Bragantino#7Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 17.4%Libertadores Qualification: 14.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.4%Relegation: 9.0%
2026-02-25Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%2 - 1Atlético-MG#13Winner: 0.6%Libertadores: 8.0%Libertadores Qualification: 8.6%Copa Sulamericana: 36.2%Relegation: 20.3%
2026-02-11São Paulo#4Winner: 6.1%Libertadores: 38.1%Libertadores Qualification: 18.3%Copa Sulamericana: 32.4%Relegation: 2.4%2 - 0Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-02-04Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%5 - 3Botafogo#12Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 11.9%Libertadores Qualification: 11.1%Copa Sulamericana: 38.5%Relegation: 14.9%
2026-01-28Fluminense#3Winner: 9.2%Libertadores: 48.7%Libertadores Qualification: 18.3%Copa Sulamericana: 26.7%Relegation: 1.0%2 - 1Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%