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Grêmio Copa Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 38.3%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 13 of 38 · Rank #12 · 13 MP

Grêmio Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.5%
Winner
18.3%
Relegation
#12
Position
LDDLW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Grêmio are 12th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 13 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 38.3% chance of copa sulamericana — with 25 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Grêmio have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their copa sulamericana probability, Grêmio's winner chance currently stands at 0.5%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Grêmio's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.5%
  • Libertadores: 7.4%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%
  • Relegation: 18.3%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.5%Libertadores: 31.7%Libertadores Qualification: 18.7%Copa Sulamericana: 36.5%Relegation: 2.8%11:30 PMGrêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
52%
22%
Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%10:30 PMFlamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 64.4%Libertadores Qualification: 15.5%Copa Sulamericana: 17.4%Relegation: 0.3%
48%
28%
Bahia#6Winner: 4.7%Libertadores: 32.3%Libertadores Qualification: 18.6%Copa Sulamericana: 35.8%Relegation: 3.0%7:00 PMGrêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
45%
25%
Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%10:00 PMSantos#17Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.9%Libertadores Qualification: 5.6%Copa Sulamericana: 31.2%Relegation: 29.0%
48%
28%
Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%3:00 PMCorinthians#14Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 5.2%Libertadores Qualification: 6.9%Copa Sulamericana: 34.4%Relegation: 24.2%
48%
28%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-26Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%1 - 0Coritiba#7Winner: 1.6%Libertadores: 16.0%Libertadores Qualification: 14.2%Copa Sulamericana: 42.3%Relegation: 8.3%
2026-04-18Cruzeiro#11Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.2%Libertadores Qualification: 8.6%Copa Sulamericana: 37.9%Relegation: 18.9%2 - 0Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
2026-04-11Internacional#16Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 4.0%Libertadores Qualification: 5.6%Copa Sulamericana: 31.4%Relegation: 28.8%0 - 0Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
2026-04-05Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%0 - 0Remo#19Libertadores: 0.4%Libertadores Qualification: 1.0%Copa Sulamericana: 10.7%Relegation: 66.4%
2026-04-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 46.3%Libertadores: 86.9%Libertadores Qualification: 7.6%Copa Sulamericana: 5.2%2 - 1Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
2026-03-22Vasco#10Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.9%Copa Sulamericana: 38.2%Relegation: 18.3%2 - 1Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
2026-03-19Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%2 - 0Vitória#13Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.4%Libertadores Qualification: 9.3%Copa Sulamericana: 37.9%Relegation: 18.0%
2026-03-16Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%1 - 1Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
2026-03-12Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%1 - 1Bragantino#9Winner: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.1%Libertadores Qualification: 10.9%Copa Sulamericana: 40.9%Relegation: 13.9%
2026-02-25Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%2 - 1Atlético-MG#15Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 4.3%Libertadores Qualification: 6.0%Copa Sulamericana: 32.1%Relegation: 27.6%
2026-02-11São Paulo#4Winner: 5.8%Libertadores: 37.1%Libertadores Qualification: 19.2%Copa Sulamericana: 33.5%Relegation: 2.0%2 - 0Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%
2026-02-04Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%5 - 3Botafogo#8Winner: 1.4%Libertadores: 14.6%Libertadores Qualification: 13.3%Copa Sulamericana: 41.4%Relegation: 10.1%
2026-01-28Fluminense#3Winner: 12.6%Libertadores: 56.4%Libertadores Qualification: 17.6%Copa Sulamericana: 22.0%Relegation: 0.5%2 - 1Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3%