Skip to main content
Copa do Brasil 2026·2026-10-31·Round 19

Quarterfinals — Leg 2 — Saturday, October 31, 2026

By Alberto Ibarra · · Knockout Preview

Palmeiras vs Vasco sets the stage for a critical semifinal encounter. Palmeiras holds a 58.8% probability of advancing, making them the marginal favorites. Vasco faces a 41.2% chance, needing to overcome these odds. In terms of tournament prospects, Palmeiras exhibits a 32.9% probability of winning the tournament, whereas Vasco stands at 20.5%.

Grêmio vs Atlético-MG presents a near equilibrium in probabilities. Grêmio's prospect of advancing is 50.5%, a marginal advantage over Atlético-MG's 49.5%. Both teams exhibit comparable championship likelihoods, with Grêmio at 23.6% and Atlético-MG at 23.0%. The balance suggests a tight contest with negligible probability swing between advancement and elimination.

Alberto Ibarra

Live probability analysis

Go to the championship page to see the complete probability analysis with updated title, promotion and relegation chances.

⚡Check full probability analysis