Palmeiras
Palmeiras Libertadores Chances 2026 — 99.2%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #2 · 28 MP
Palmeiras Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
27.0%
Win
0.0%
Releg
#2
Position
WDDWD
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for Libertadores at 99.2%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.
Live — Updated at
Palmeiras are 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.2% chance of libertadores — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their libertadores probability, Palmeiras's win chance currently stands at 27.0%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 27.0%
- Libertadores: 99.2%
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%
- Sulamericana: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-04-26
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%8:30 PM
Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8%
8:30 PMCorinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8%77%
7%
Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%
3:00 PMPalmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%
3:00 PMPalmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%53%
20%
Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%3:00 PM
Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7%
3:00 PMBragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7%77%
7%
Latest News
Flamengo Strengthens Title Bid as Grêmio Faces Relegation Woes
Round-up2026-09-20
Flamengo's narrow 2-1 victory over Bragantino has further solidified their position at the top of the Brasileirão standings. With 60 points, Flamengo now enjoys…
Quarterfinals Drama Unfolds: High Stakes and Tight Margins
Knockout Preview2026-09-14
As the quarterfinals reach their decisive second legs, the tension is palpable in this thrilling knockout stage. Four enticing matches are set to determine who …
Flamengo's Title Hopes Rise as Corinthians Face Relegation Threat
Round-up2026-09-13
Flamengo fans have reason to celebrate after their team clinched a 2-1 victory over Corinthians, a result that has significantly boosted their chances of winnin…
Palmeiras Edges Closer to Glory, São Paulo's Relegation Fears Rise
Round-up2026-09-12
In a weekend of electrifying drama, Palmeiras surged ahead in the Brasileirão title race with a commanding 2-0 victory over São Paulo, propelling them to the to…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-09-16 |  | LDU | 3 - 2(3-4 pen) | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 2 - 0 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-09-09 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 0 | LDU |
| 2026-09-06 | | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-09-02 |  | Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-09-02 | | Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 3 - 0 | Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 3 - 0 | Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 4 - 1 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-08-19 | | Cerro Porteño | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-15 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-12 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 1 | Cerro Porteño |
| 2026-08-09 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 0 - 0 |  Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fortaleza | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fortaleza | 3 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 3 - 0 | Fortaleza |
| 2026-08-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 3 - 0 | Fortaleza |
| 2026-07-29 | | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% | 0 - 4 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 2 |  Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-07-22 | | Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0% | 1 - 3 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 0 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% |
| 2026-05-28 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 4 - 1 | Junior |
| 2026-05-23 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 0 - 3 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-20 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 0 - 1 | Cerro Porteño |
| 2026-05-16 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 1 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Jacuipense | 1 - 4 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Jacuipense | 1 - 4 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7% | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | | Sporting Cristal | 0 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 1 |  Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-04-29 | | Cerro Porteño | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7% | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-04-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 3 - 0 | Jacuipense |
| 2026-04-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 3 - 0 | Jacuipense |
| 2026-04-19 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 0 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0% |
| 2026-04-16 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 2 - 1 | Sporting Cristal |
| 2026-04-12 | | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8% | 0 - 0 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-04-08 | | Junior | 1 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1% |
| 2026-03-21 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7% | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 2 - 1 | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 1 - 0 | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 2 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% |
| 2026-02-12 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% | 1 - 3 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 5 - 1 | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1% | 2 - 2 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |