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Palmeiras Libertadores Chances 2026 — 95.4%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 18 of 38 · Rank #1 · 18 MP

Palmeiras Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
62.8%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#1
Position
DDDWW
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for Libertadores at 95.4%, currently ranked 1st — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Palmeiras are 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 18 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 95.4% chance of libertadores — with 20 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their libertadores probability, Palmeiras's winner chance currently stands at 62.8%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 62.8%
  • Libertadores: 95.4%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2026-04-26

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Flamengo Libertadores ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesAthletico-PR Libertadores ChancesBragantino Libertadores Qualification ChancesCoritiba Libertadores Qualification Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Coritiba#6Winner: 1.0%Libertadores: 15.7%Libertadores Qualification: 15.3%Copa Sulamericana: 43.9%Relegation: 6.4%3:00 PMPalmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
49%
27%
Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%3:00 PMAtlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
42%
31%
Vitória#13Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 7.8%Libertadores Qualification: 9.6%Copa Sulamericana: 39.4%Relegation: 15.8%3:00 PMPalmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
59%
16%
Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%3:00 PMInternacional#14Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.8%Relegation: 27.3%
42%
31%
Fluminense#3Winner: 5.5%Libertadores: 46.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.2%Copa Sulamericana: 27.8%Relegation: 0.7%3:00 PMPalmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
32%
41%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-31Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%1 - 0Chapecoense#20Libertadores Qualification: 0.1%Copa Sulamericana: 2.1%Relegation: 90.0%
2026-05-23Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%0 - 3Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-05-16Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%1 - 1Cruzeiro#11Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.5%Libertadores Qualification: 10.5%Copa Sulamericana: 41.4%Relegation: 13.2%
2026-05-10Remo#18Libertadores: 1.0%Libertadores Qualification: 2.1%Copa Sulamericana: 18.4%Relegation: 49.3%1 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-05-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%1 - 1Santos#16Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.5%Relegation: 27.7%
2026-04-26Bragantino#5Winner: 3.2%Libertadores: 34.6%Libertadores Qualification: 20.1%Copa Sulamericana: 35.1%Relegation: 1.7%0 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-04-19Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%1 - 0Athletico-PR#4Winner: 4.2%Libertadores: 40.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.5%Copa Sulamericana: 31.5%Relegation: 1.1%
2026-04-12Corinthians#10Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.7%Libertadores Qualification: 10.7%Copa Sulamericana: 41.8%Relegation: 13.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-04-05Bahia#7Winner: 1.6%Libertadores: 22.4%Libertadores Qualification: 17.7%Copa Sulamericana: 41.2%Relegation: 4.3%1 - 2Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-04-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%2 - 1Grêmio#15Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.3%Copa Sulamericana: 31.4%Relegation: 27.9%
2026-03-21São Paulo#8Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 12.8%Libertadores Qualification: 13.6%Copa Sulamericana: 43.6%Relegation: 8.5%0 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-03-18Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%2 - 1Botafogo#12Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.1%Libertadores Qualification: 10.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.2%Relegation: 15.1%
2026-03-15Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%1 - 0Mirassol#19Libertadores: 0.9%Libertadores Qualification: 2.0%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 52.0%
2026-03-12Vasco#17Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 2.3%Libertadores Qualification: 4.1%Copa Sulamericana: 27.2%Relegation: 34.2%2 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-02-25Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%2 - 1Fluminense#3Winner: 5.5%Libertadores: 46.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.2%Copa Sulamericana: 27.8%Relegation: 0.7%
2026-02-12Internacional#14Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.8%Relegation: 27.3%1 - 3Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-02-04Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%5 - 1Vitória#13Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 7.8%Libertadores Qualification: 9.6%Copa Sulamericana: 39.4%Relegation: 15.8%
2026-01-28Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%2 - 2Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%