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Palmeiras Libertadores Chances 2026: 100.0%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #2 · 34 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do BrasilCopa Libertadores
Palmeiras Brasileirão 2026: Key Insights
19.1%
Win
0.0%
Releg
#2
Position
WWWDW
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for Libertadores at 100.0%, currently ranked 2nd, updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Palmeiras are 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of libertadores. With 4 rounds still to play, the final table is far from settled.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their libertadores probability, Palmeiras's win chance currently stands at 19.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs hundreds of thousands of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures, taking in every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 19.1%
  • Libertadores: 100.0%Since 2026-10-11
  • Pre-Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-10-11
  • Sulamericana: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
  • Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-04-26

Brasileirão 2026: Competition Races

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Flamengo Win ChancesCruzeiro Libertadores ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesAthletico-PR Pre-Libertadores ChancesBahia Pre-Libertadores ChancesAtlético-MG Sulamericana Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%6-1LiveRemo#19Releg: 100.0%
Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2%11:30 PMPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
28%30%42%
Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%7:30 PMFlamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%
41%28%31%
Chapecoense#20Releg: 100.0%3:00 PMPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
9%17%74%
Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%3:00 PMCoritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3%
73%18%9%

Latest News

Grêmio and Palmeiras Shine in Semifinal First Legs

Grêmio and Palmeiras Shine in Semifinal First Legs

Round-up
2026-11-01

The Copa do Brasil semifinals burst open with a dazzling display from Grêmio and Palmeiras, each carving out a crucial victory in their respective first-leg enc…

Quarterfinals — Leg 2 — Saturday, October 31, 2026

Knockout Preview
2026-10-31

Palmeiras vs Vasco sets the stage for a critical semifinal encounter. Palmeiras holds a 58.8% probability of advancing, making them the marginal favorites. Vasc…

Thrilling Clashes Shake Up Brasileirão Dynamics

Thrilling Clashes Shake Up Brasileirão Dynamics

Round-up
2026-10-28

As the dust settles on Round 33 of the Brasileirão, the footballing drama intensifies with every pulsating match. The pitch was a theater of dreams and nightmar…

Probabilities Shift as Palmeiras Strengthens Title Bid

Probabilities Shift as Palmeiras Strengthens Title Bid

Round-up
2026-10-24

Palmeiras' probability of winning the Brasileirão increased from 38.5% to 51.5% following their 2–0 victory over Bragantino. This result, coupled with Flamengo'…

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-11-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%6 - 1Remo#19Releg: 100.0%
2026-11-01Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 0Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%
2026-10-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASantos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-10-24Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 0Bragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7%
2026-10-21Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%0 - 1(5-3 pen)Fluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%
2026-10-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%0 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-10-14Copa LibertadoresFluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%1 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-10-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%4 - 1Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3%
2026-10-08Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 0Bahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4%
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-09-16Copa LibertadoresLDU3 - 2(1-3 pen)Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-09-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 0São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%
2026-09-09Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 0LDU
2026-09-06Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilSantos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-08-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%3 - 0Santos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%4 - 1Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%
2026-08-19Copa LibertadoresCerro Porteño0 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-08-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-08-12Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 1Cerro Porteño
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%0 - 0Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%
2026-08-05Copa do BrasilFortaleza3 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-08-02Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%3 - 0Fortaleza
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%0 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 2Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%
2026-07-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3%1 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 0Chapecoense#20Releg: 100.0%
2026-05-28Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%4 - 1Junior
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%0 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-20Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%0 - 1Cerro Porteño
2026-05-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 1Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-05-13Copa do BrasilJacuipense1 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo#19Releg: 100.0%1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-05Copa LibertadoresSporting Cristal0 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 1Santos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%
2026-04-29Copa LibertadoresCerro Porteño1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7%0 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-04-23Copa do BrasilPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%3 - 0Jacuipense
2026-04-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 0Athletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%
2026-04-16Copa LibertadoresPalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 1Sporting Cristal
2026-04-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3%0 - 0Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-04-08Copa LibertadoresJunior1 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4%1 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-04-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 1Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-03-21Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%0 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-03-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 1Botafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1%
2026-03-15Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%1 - 0Mirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%
2026-03-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%2 - 1Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-02-25Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 1Fluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%
2026-02-12Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AInternacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%1 - 3Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%5 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%2 - 2Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%