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Palmeiras Libertadores Chances 2026 — 98.7%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 21 of 38 · Rank #1 · 21 MP

Palmeiras Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
73.9%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#1
Position
WWWLW
Last 5 matches
Palmeiras are the clear favourites for Libertadores at 98.7%, currently ranked 1st — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Palmeiras are 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 21 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 98.7% chance of libertadores — with 17 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Palmeiras have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their libertadores probability, Palmeiras's winner chance currently stands at 73.9%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Palmeiras's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 73.9%
  • Libertadores: 98.7%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2026-04-26

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Flamengo Libertadores ChancesAthletico-PR Libertadores ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesBahia Libertadores Qualification ChancesBragantino Libertadores Qualification Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%7:00 PMInternacional#15Libertadores: 0.6%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 19.3%Relegation: 44.6%
61%
17%
Fluminense#4Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 35.7%Libertadores Qualification: 23.5%Copa Sulamericana: 34.6%Relegation: 0.6%7:30 PMPalmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
55%
21%
Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%7:00 PMVasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
61%
17%
Mirassol#14Libertadores: 2.2%Libertadores Qualification: 4.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.1%Relegation: 26.8%3:00 PMPalmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
37%
34%
Botafogo#8Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 15.9%Libertadores Qualification: 17.2%Copa Sulamericana: 46.9%Relegation: 3.8%3:00 PMPalmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
49%
27%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-29Vitória#12Libertadores: 3.6%Libertadores Qualification: 6.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.2%Relegation: 17.5%0 - 4Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-07-26Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 2Atlético-MG#10Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 12.4%Libertadores Qualification: 15.2%Copa Sulamericana: 47.0%Relegation: 5.7%
2026-07-22Coritiba#11Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 4.8%Libertadores Qualification: 8.5%Copa Sulamericana: 44.1%Relegation: 12.6%1 - 3Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-05-31Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 0Chapecoense#20Copa Sulamericana: 0.4%Relegation: 96.6%
2026-05-23Flamengo#2Winner: 15.1%Libertadores: 81.4%Libertadores Qualification: 11.2%Copa Sulamericana: 7.2%0 - 3Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-05-16Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 1Cruzeiro#7Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 13.2%Libertadores Qualification: 16.3%Copa Sulamericana: 48.9%Relegation: 4.0%
2026-05-10Remo#19Libertadores: 0.3%Libertadores Qualification: 1.2%Copa Sulamericana: 14.8%Relegation: 53.0%1 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-05-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 1Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-04-26Bragantino#6Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.4%Libertadores Qualification: 21.8%Copa Sulamericana: 40.1%Relegation: 1.5%0 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-04-19Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 0Athletico-PR#3Winner: 5.9%Libertadores: 62.5%Libertadores Qualification: 19.1%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-04-12Corinthians#9Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 9.3%Libertadores Qualification: 13.3%Copa Sulamericana: 47.9%Relegation: 7.0%0 - 0Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-04-05Bahia#5Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 22.3%Libertadores Qualification: 20.6%Copa Sulamericana: 44.5%Relegation: 1.8%1 - 2Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-04-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%2 - 1Grêmio#16Libertadores: 1.2%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 25.0%Relegation: 35.9%
2026-03-21São Paulo#13Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.4%Libertadores Qualification: 10.1%Copa Sulamericana: 44.7%Relegation: 11.5%0 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-03-18Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%2 - 1Botafogo#8Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 15.9%Libertadores Qualification: 17.2%Copa Sulamericana: 46.9%Relegation: 3.8%
2026-03-15Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 0Mirassol#14Libertadores: 2.2%Libertadores Qualification: 4.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.1%Relegation: 26.8%
2026-03-12Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%2 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-02-25Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%2 - 1Fluminense#4Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 35.7%Libertadores Qualification: 23.5%Copa Sulamericana: 34.6%Relegation: 0.6%
2026-02-12Internacional#15Libertadores: 0.6%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 19.3%Relegation: 44.6%1 - 3Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-02-04Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%5 - 1Vitória#12Libertadores: 3.6%Libertadores Qualification: 6.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.2%Relegation: 17.5%
2026-01-28Atlético-MG#10Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 12.4%Libertadores Qualification: 15.2%Copa Sulamericana: 47.0%Relegation: 5.7%2 - 2Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%