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Flamengo Libertadores Chances 2026 — 75.3%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 18 of 38 · Rank #2 · 17 MP

Flamengo Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
18.7%
Winner
0.1%
Relegation
#2
Position
DWDLW
Last 5 matches
Flamengo are the clear favourites for Libertadores at 75.3%, currently ranked 2nd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Flamengo are 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 17 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 75.3% chance of libertadores — with 20 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Flamengo have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their libertadores probability, Flamengo's winner chance currently stands at 18.7%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Flamengo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 18.7%
  • Libertadores: 75.3%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%
  • Relegation: 0.1%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Palmeiras Winner ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesAthletico-PR Libertadores ChancesBragantino Libertadores Qualification ChancesCoritiba Libertadores Qualification ChancesBahia Copa Sulamericana Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Chapecoense#20Libertadores Qualification: 0.1%Copa Sulamericana: 2.1%Relegation: 90.0%3:00 PMFlamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
37%
39%
Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%3:00 PMSão Paulo#8Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 12.8%Libertadores Qualification: 13.6%Copa Sulamericana: 43.6%Relegation: 8.5%
60%
17%
Internacional#14Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.8%Relegation: 27.3%3:00 PMFlamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
40%
33%
Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%3:00 PMVitória#13Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 7.8%Libertadores Qualification: 9.6%Copa Sulamericana: 39.4%Relegation: 15.8%
60%
17%
Mirassol#19Libertadores: 0.9%Libertadores Qualification: 2.0%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 52.0%3:00 PMFlamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
25%
50%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-30Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%3 - 0Coritiba#6Winner: 1.0%Libertadores: 15.7%Libertadores Qualification: 15.3%Copa Sulamericana: 43.9%Relegation: 6.4%
2026-05-23Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%0 - 3Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%
2026-05-17Athletico-PR#4Winner: 4.2%Libertadores: 40.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.5%Copa Sulamericana: 31.5%Relegation: 1.1%1 - 1Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-05-10Grêmio#15Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.3%Copa Sulamericana: 31.4%Relegation: 27.9%0 - 1Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-05-03Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%2 - 2Vasco#17Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 2.3%Libertadores Qualification: 4.1%Copa Sulamericana: 27.2%Relegation: 34.2%
2026-04-26Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%0 - 4Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-04-19Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%2 - 0Bahia#7Winner: 1.6%Libertadores: 22.4%Libertadores Qualification: 17.7%Copa Sulamericana: 41.2%Relegation: 4.3%
2026-04-12Fluminense#3Winner: 5.5%Libertadores: 46.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.2%Copa Sulamericana: 27.8%Relegation: 0.7%1 - 2Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-04-05Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%3 - 1Santos#16Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.5%Relegation: 27.7%
2026-04-02Bragantino#5Winner: 3.2%Libertadores: 34.6%Libertadores Qualification: 20.1%Copa Sulamericana: 35.1%Relegation: 1.7%3 - 0Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-22Corinthians#10Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.7%Libertadores Qualification: 10.7%Copa Sulamericana: 41.8%Relegation: 13.0%1 - 1Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-19Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%3 - 0Remo#18Libertadores: 1.0%Libertadores Qualification: 2.1%Copa Sulamericana: 18.4%Relegation: 49.3%
2026-03-14Botafogo#12Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.1%Libertadores Qualification: 10.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.2%Relegation: 15.1%0 - 3Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-03-11Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%2 - 0Cruzeiro#11Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.5%Libertadores Qualification: 10.5%Copa Sulamericana: 41.4%Relegation: 13.2%
2026-02-10Vitória#13Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 7.8%Libertadores Qualification: 9.6%Copa Sulamericana: 39.4%Relegation: 15.8%1 - 2Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-02-04Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%1 - 1Internacional#14Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.8%Relegation: 27.3%
2026-01-28São Paulo#8Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 12.8%Libertadores Qualification: 13.6%Copa Sulamericana: 43.6%Relegation: 8.5%2 - 1Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%