Flamengo
Flamengo Libertadores Chances 2026 — 99.9%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #1 · 28 MP
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Flamengo are 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of libertadores — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Flamengo have recorded 5 wins. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their libertadores probability, Flamengo's win chance currently stands at 71.1%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Flamengo's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 71.1%
- Libertadores: 99.9%
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
- Sulamericana: 0.0%Since 2026-09-12
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-07-22
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
8:30 PM
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 |  Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-09-17 |  | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Ind. del Valle |
| 2026-09-13 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 |  Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8% |
| 2026-09-10 | | Ind. del Valle | 0 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-09-06 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7% | 0 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-09-02 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 |  Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1% |
| 2026-08-22 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-19 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 1 | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% |
| 2026-08-16 | | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% | 1 - 5 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-12 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-08-09 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 |  Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% |
| 2026-07-29 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-07-26 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 1 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-07-22 | | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% | 0 - 4 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-30 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 |  Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-05-26 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 | Cusco FC |
| 2026-05-23 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 0 - 3 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-05-20 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 0 | Estudiantes |
| 2026-05-17 | | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-10 | | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1% | 0 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-03 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 2 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-04-29 | | Estudiantes | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1% | 0 - 4 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-19 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 |  Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-04-16 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 4 - 1 | Ind. Medellín |
| 2026-04-12 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% | 1 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-08 | | Cusco FC | 0 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-04-05 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 1 |  Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-04-02 | | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7% | 3 - 0 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8% | 1 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-19 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 3 - 0 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7% |
| 2026-03-14 | | Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1% | 0 - 3 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-03-11 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% |
| 2026-02-10 | | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% | 1 - 2 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% |
| 2026-01-28 | | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7% | 2 - 1 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% |