Flamengo Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo are the clear favourite for Copa Libertadores with a 98.9% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 55.3% |
| Libertadores | 98.9% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 1.0% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 0.0% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Flamengo are currently 1st in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 26 matches played (16W 6D 4L, 54 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 98.9%, Flamengo are currently a strong contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Flamengo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Flamengo's probability of Copa Libertadores has climbed from 93.9% to 98.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 97.8% |
| Athletico-PR | 59.8% |
| Fluminense | 55.2% |
| Bahia | 35.4% |
| Cruzeiro | 30.1% |
| Coritiba | 5.3% |
| Atlético-MG | 7.5% |
| Bragantino | 5.0% |
| São Paulo | 2.2% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.