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Athletico-PR Copa Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 35.6%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 15 of 38 · Rank #5 · 14 MP

Athletico-PR Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
4.6%
Winner
3.4%
Relegation
#5
Position
LWLWD
Last 5 matches
Athletico-PR are in realistic contention for Copa Sulamericana at 35.6%, currently ranked 5th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Athletico-PR are 5th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 14 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 35.6% chance of copa sulamericana — with 23 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Athletico-PR have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their copa sulamericana probability, Athletico-PR's winner chance currently stands at 4.6%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Athletico-PR's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 4.6%
  • Libertadores: 32.2%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%
  • Relegation: 3.4%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Palmeiras Winner ChancesFlamengo Libertadores ChancesFluminense Libertadores ChancesSão Paulo Libertadores ChancesBahia Libertadores Qualification ChancesBragantino Copa Sulamericana ChancesCoritiba Copa Sulamericana ChancesCruzeiro Copa Sulamericana ChancesVitória Copa Sulamericana Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Vasco#14Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.4%Copa Sulamericana: 35.8%Relegation: 21.1%11:30 PMAthletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
37%
37%
Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%10:30 PMFlamengo#2Winner: 19.8%Libertadores: 65.5%Libertadores Qualification: 14.6%Copa Sulamericana: 16.9%Relegation: 0.4%
60%
17%
Remo#19Libertadores: 0.9%Libertadores Qualification: 1.7%Copa Sulamericana: 14.6%Relegation: 58.4%7:00 PMAthletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
39%
32%
Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%3:00 PMMirassol#18Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 2.6%Libertadores Qualification: 3.7%Copa Sulamericana: 23.4%Relegation: 41.9%
60%
17%
São Paulo#4Winner: 6.1%Libertadores: 38.1%Libertadores Qualification: 18.3%Copa Sulamericana: 32.4%Relegation: 2.4%3:00 PMAthletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
54%
22%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-02Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%0 - 0Grêmio#15Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.3%Libertadores Qualification: 8.2%Copa Sulamericana: 35.7%Relegation: 21.3%
2026-04-26Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%3 - 1Vitória#10Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 12.6%Libertadores Qualification: 11.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.7%Relegation: 12.9%
2026-04-19Palmeiras#1Winner: 48.9%Libertadores: 87.9%Libertadores Qualification: 6.9%Copa Sulamericana: 4.9%1 - 0Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
2026-04-12Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%2 - 0Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.5%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 10.3%Relegation: 68.3%
2026-04-05Atlético-MG#13Winner: 0.6%Libertadores: 8.0%Libertadores Qualification: 8.6%Copa Sulamericana: 36.2%Relegation: 20.3%2 - 1Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
2026-04-01Bahia#6Winner: 3.1%Libertadores: 25.4%Libertadores Qualification: 16.8%Copa Sulamericana: 38.6%Relegation: 5.1%3 - 0Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
2026-03-29Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%4 - 1Botafogo#12Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 11.9%Libertadores Qualification: 11.1%Copa Sulamericana: 38.5%Relegation: 14.9%
2026-03-22Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%2 - 0Coritiba#8Winner: 1.0%Libertadores: 11.1%Libertadores Qualification: 11.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.2%Relegation: 13.5%
2026-03-18Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%2 - 1Cruzeiro#9Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.6%Libertadores Qualification: 9.2%Copa Sulamericana: 37.9%Relegation: 17.8%
2026-03-15Fluminense#3Winner: 9.2%Libertadores: 48.7%Libertadores Qualification: 18.3%Copa Sulamericana: 26.7%Relegation: 1.0%3 - 2Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
2026-02-25Bragantino#7Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 17.4%Libertadores Qualification: 14.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.4%Relegation: 9.0%1 - 1Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%
2026-02-19Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%0 - 1Corinthians#17Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.8%Libertadores Qualification: 5.2%Copa Sulamericana: 28.5%Relegation: 33.1%
2026-02-12Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%2 - 1Santos#16Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.9%Libertadores Qualification: 5.2%Copa Sulamericana: 28.6%Relegation: 32.8%
2026-01-28Internacional#11Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 6.2%Libertadores Qualification: 7.7%Copa Sulamericana: 35.2%Relegation: 22.5%0 - 1Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.6%Libertadores: 32.2%Libertadores Qualification: 17.9%Copa Sulamericana: 35.6%Relegation: 3.4%