
Athletico-PR Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Athletico-PR remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores qualification at 27.7%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 2.8% |
| Libertadores | 59.8% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 27.7% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 12.4% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Athletico-PR are currently 3rd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 26 matches played (13W 6D 7L, 45 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 27.7%, Athletico-PR are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Athletico-PR's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Athletico-PR's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has climbed from 18% to 27.7%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Athletico-PR achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Flamengo | 1.0% |
| Palmeiras | 2.0% |
| Fluminense | 29.3% |
| Bahia | 34.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 34.9% |
| Coritiba | 15.0% |
| Atlético-MG | 17.8% |
| Bragantino | 14.5% |
| São Paulo | 7.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.