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Atlético-MG Copa Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 42.4%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 18 of 38 · Rank #9 · 18 MP

Atlético-MG Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.4%
Winner
11.6%
Relegation
#9
Position
WDWLW
Last 5 matches
Atlético-MG are in realistic contention for Copa Sulamericana at 42.4%, currently ranked 9th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Atlético-MG are 9th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 18 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 42.4% chance of copa sulamericana — with 20 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Atlético-MG have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their copa sulamericana probability, Atlético-MG's winner chance currently stands at 0.4%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Atlético-MG's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.4%
  • Libertadores: 9.7%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%
  • Relegation: 11.6%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Athletico-PR Libertadores ChancesBragantino Libertadores Qualification ChancesCoritiba Libertadores Qualification ChancesBahia Copa Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo Copa Sulamericana ChancesCorinthians Copa Sulamericana ChancesCruzeiro Copa Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Copa Sulamericana ChancesVitória 2026 Season OddsInternacional 2026 Season Odds

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%3:00 PMBahia#7Winner: 1.6%Libertadores: 22.4%Libertadores Qualification: 17.7%Copa Sulamericana: 41.2%Relegation: 4.3%
50%
24%
Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%3:00 PMAtlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
42%
31%
Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%3:00 PMBragantino#5Winner: 3.2%Libertadores: 34.6%Libertadores Qualification: 20.1%Copa Sulamericana: 35.1%Relegation: 1.7%
50%
24%
Remo#18Libertadores: 1.0%Libertadores Qualification: 2.1%Copa Sulamericana: 18.4%Relegation: 49.3%3:00 PMAtlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
36%
34%
Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%3:00 PMGrêmio#15Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.3%Copa Sulamericana: 31.4%Relegation: 27.9%
50%
24%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-31Vasco#17Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 2.3%Libertadores Qualification: 4.1%Copa Sulamericana: 27.2%Relegation: 34.2%0 - 1Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-05-24Corinthians#10Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.7%Libertadores Qualification: 10.7%Copa Sulamericana: 41.8%Relegation: 13.0%1 - 0Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-05-16Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%3 - 1Mirassol#19Libertadores: 0.9%Libertadores Qualification: 2.0%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 52.0%
2026-05-10Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%1 - 1Botafogo#12Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.1%Libertadores Qualification: 10.0%Copa Sulamericana: 40.2%Relegation: 15.1%
2026-05-02Cruzeiro#11Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 8.5%Libertadores Qualification: 10.5%Copa Sulamericana: 41.4%Relegation: 13.2%1 - 3Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-04-26Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%0 - 4Flamengo#2Winner: 18.7%Libertadores: 75.3%Libertadores Qualification: 12.7%Copa Sulamericana: 10.9%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-04-19Coritiba#6Winner: 1.0%Libertadores: 15.7%Libertadores Qualification: 15.3%Copa Sulamericana: 43.9%Relegation: 6.4%2 - 0Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-04-11Santos#16Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.5%Relegation: 27.7%1 - 0Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-04-05Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%2 - 1Athletico-PR#4Winner: 4.2%Libertadores: 40.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.5%Copa Sulamericana: 31.5%Relegation: 1.1%
2026-04-02Chapecoense#20Libertadores Qualification: 0.1%Copa Sulamericana: 2.1%Relegation: 90.0%0 - 4Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-03-21Fluminense#3Winner: 5.5%Libertadores: 46.4%Libertadores Qualification: 20.2%Copa Sulamericana: 27.8%Relegation: 0.7%1 - 0Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-03-18Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%1 - 0São Paulo#8Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 12.8%Libertadores Qualification: 13.6%Copa Sulamericana: 43.6%Relegation: 8.5%
2026-03-14Vitória#13Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 7.8%Libertadores Qualification: 9.6%Copa Sulamericana: 39.4%Relegation: 15.8%2 - 0Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-03-11Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%1 - 0Internacional#14Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.8%Relegation: 27.3%
2026-02-25Grêmio#15Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 3.2%Libertadores Qualification: 5.3%Copa Sulamericana: 31.4%Relegation: 27.9%2 - 1Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-02-11Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%3 - 3Remo#18Libertadores: 1.0%Libertadores Qualification: 2.1%Copa Sulamericana: 18.4%Relegation: 49.3%
2026-02-04Bragantino#5Winner: 3.2%Libertadores: 34.6%Libertadores Qualification: 20.1%Copa Sulamericana: 35.1%Relegation: 1.7%1 - 0Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%
2026-01-28Atlético-MG#9Winner: 0.4%Libertadores: 9.7%Libertadores Qualification: 11.5%Copa Sulamericana: 42.4%Relegation: 11.6%2 - 2Palmeiras#1Winner: 62.8%Libertadores: 95.4%Libertadores Qualification: 3.2%Copa Sulamericana: 1.3%