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Santos Relegation Chances 2026 — 34.7%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 21 of 38 · Rank #17 · 20 MP

Santos Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
34.7%
Relegation
#17
Position
LLWLD
Last 5 matches
Santos are in realistic contention for Relegation at 34.7%, currently ranked 17th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Santos are 17th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 34.7% chance of relegation — with 17 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Santos have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Santos's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
  • Libertadores: 1.3%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%
  • Relegation: 34.7%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Vitória Copa Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo 2026 Season OddsMirassol 2026 Season OddsInternacional 2026 Season OddsGrêmio 2026 Season OddsVasco Relegation ChancesRemo Relegation ChancesChapecoense Relegation Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%9:30 PMAthletico-PR#3Winner: 5.9%Libertadores: 62.5%Libertadores Qualification: 19.1%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 0.1%
52%
22%
Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%7:00 PMSantos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
40%
33%
Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%9:30 PMMirassol#14Libertadores: 2.2%Libertadores Qualification: 4.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.1%Relegation: 26.8%
52%
22%
Corinthians#9Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 9.3%Libertadores Qualification: 13.3%Copa Sulamericana: 47.9%Relegation: 7.0%3:00 PMSantos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
44%
30%
Internacional#15Libertadores: 0.6%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 19.3%Relegation: 44.6%3:00 PMSantos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
36%
34%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-25Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%2 - 2Chapecoense#20Copa Sulamericana: 0.4%Relegation: 96.6%
2026-07-16Botafogo#8Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 15.9%Libertadores Qualification: 17.2%Copa Sulamericana: 46.9%Relegation: 3.8%2 - 1Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-05-30Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%3 - 1Vitória#12Libertadores: 3.6%Libertadores Qualification: 6.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.2%Relegation: 17.5%
2026-05-23Grêmio#16Libertadores: 1.2%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 25.0%Relegation: 35.9%3 - 2Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-05-17Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%0 - 3Coritiba#11Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 4.8%Libertadores Qualification: 8.5%Copa Sulamericana: 44.1%Relegation: 12.6%
2026-05-10Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%2 - 0Bragantino#6Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.4%Libertadores Qualification: 21.8%Copa Sulamericana: 40.1%Relegation: 1.5%
2026-05-02Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%1 - 1Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-04-25Bahia#5Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 22.3%Libertadores Qualification: 20.6%Copa Sulamericana: 44.5%Relegation: 1.8%2 - 2Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-04-19Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%2 - 3Fluminense#4Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 35.7%Libertadores Qualification: 23.5%Copa Sulamericana: 34.6%Relegation: 0.6%
2026-04-11Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%1 - 0Atlético-MG#10Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 12.4%Libertadores Qualification: 15.2%Copa Sulamericana: 47.0%Relegation: 5.7%
2026-04-05Flamengo#2Winner: 15.1%Libertadores: 81.4%Libertadores Qualification: 11.2%Copa Sulamericana: 7.2%3 - 1Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-04-02Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%2 - 0Remo#19Libertadores: 0.3%Libertadores Qualification: 1.2%Copa Sulamericana: 14.8%Relegation: 53.0%
2026-03-22Cruzeiro#7Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 13.2%Libertadores Qualification: 16.3%Copa Sulamericana: 48.9%Relegation: 4.0%0 - 0Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-03-18Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%1 - 2Internacional#15Libertadores: 0.6%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 19.3%Relegation: 44.6%
2026-03-15Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%1 - 1Corinthians#9Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 9.3%Libertadores Qualification: 13.3%Copa Sulamericana: 47.9%Relegation: 7.0%
2026-03-10Mirassol#14Libertadores: 2.2%Libertadores Qualification: 4.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.1%Relegation: 26.8%2 - 2Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-02-26Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%2 - 1Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-02-12Athletico-PR#3Winner: 5.9%Libertadores: 62.5%Libertadores Qualification: 19.1%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 0.1%2 - 1Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
2026-02-04Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%1 - 1São Paulo#13Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.4%Libertadores Qualification: 10.1%Copa Sulamericana: 44.7%Relegation: 11.5%
2026-01-28Chapecoense#20Copa Sulamericana: 0.4%Relegation: 96.6%4 - 2Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%