Bahia
Bahia Pre-Libertadores Chances 2026 — 41.0%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #5 · 28 MP
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Bahia are 5th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 41.0% chance of pre-libertadores — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Bahia have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their pre-libertadores probability, Bahia's win chance currently stands at 0.2%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Bahia's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.2%
- Libertadores: 32.0%
- Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%
- Sulamericana: 26.8%
- Releg: 0.0%Since 2026-08-31
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
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Times in Coordinated Universal Time
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0% | 2 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-09-14 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 2 - 1 |  Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7% |
| 2026-09-05 | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7% | 2 - 3 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-08-30 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 3 - 2 |  Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% |
| 2026-08-23 | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% | 0 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-08-16 | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% | 3 - 3 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-08-09 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 0 - 0 |  Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-07-29 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% | 0 - 0 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-07-26 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 1 |  Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8% |
| 2026-07-21 | Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1% | 1 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-07-17 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% |
| 2026-05-30 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 2 - 1 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1% |
| 2026-05-25 | Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0% | 3 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-05-17 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 1 |  Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1% |
| 2026-05-09 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 2 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7% | 2 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-04-25 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 2 - 2 |  Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-04-19 | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 0 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-04-11 | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% | 1 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-04-05 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 2 |  Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-04-01 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 3 - 0 | Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0% |
| 2026-03-22 | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7% | 4 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-03-18 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 2 - 0 | Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-03-15 | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% | 0 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-03-11 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 1 | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% |
| 2026-02-11 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 1 - 1 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% |
| 2026-01-28 | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8% | 1 - 2 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |