Bahia Libertadores Qualification Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Bahia remain in realistic contention for Copa Libertadores qualification at 39.2%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.2% |
| Libertadores | 30.7% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 39.2% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 29.9% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Bahia are currently 5th in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 28 matches played (12W 10D 6L, 46 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 39.2%, Bahia are currently a realistic contender for Copa Libertadores qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bahia's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Bahia's probability of Copa Libertadores qualification has climbed from 30.6% to 39.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bahia achieves Copa Libertadores qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores Qualification odds for every team
| Flamengo | 0.1% |
| Palmeiras | 0.9% |
| Athletico-PR | 24.9% |
| Fluminense | 32.7% |
| Cruzeiro | 37.8% |
| Atlético-MG | 30.6% |
| Santos | 18.2% |
| Coritiba | 6.3% |
| São Paulo | 3.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.