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Vasco Relegation Chances 2026 — 42.3%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 21 of 38 · Rank #18 · 20 MP

Vasco Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
42.3%
Relegation
#18
Position
LLLLD
Last 5 matches
Vasco are in realistic contention for Relegation at 42.3%, currently ranked 18th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Vasco are 18th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 20 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 42.3% chance of relegation — with 17 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vasco have recorded 1 draw, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vasco's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
  • Libertadores: 0.8%
  • Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%
  • Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%
  • Relegation: 42.3%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

São Paulo 2026 Season OddsMirassol 2026 Season OddsInternacional 2026 Season OddsGrêmio 2026 Season OddsSantos Relegation ChancesRemo Relegation ChancesChapecoense Relegation Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Bahia#5Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 22.3%Libertadores Qualification: 20.6%Copa Sulamericana: 44.5%Relegation: 1.8%7:00 PMVasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
46%
29%
Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%7:00 PMSantos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%
40%
33%
Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%7:00 PMVasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
61%
17%
Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%3:00 PMCruzeiro#7Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 13.2%Libertadores Qualification: 16.3%Copa Sulamericana: 48.9%Relegation: 4.0%
40%
33%
Fluminense#4Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 35.7%Libertadores Qualification: 23.5%Copa Sulamericana: 34.6%Relegation: 0.6%3:00 PMVasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
55%
21%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-07-25Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%1 - 1Mirassol#14Libertadores: 2.2%Libertadores Qualification: 4.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.1%Relegation: 26.8%
2026-07-16Vitória#12Libertadores: 3.6%Libertadores Qualification: 6.8%Copa Sulamericana: 39.2%Relegation: 17.5%1 - 0Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-05-31Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%0 - 1Atlético-MG#10Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 12.4%Libertadores Qualification: 15.2%Copa Sulamericana: 47.0%Relegation: 5.7%
2026-05-24Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%0 - 3Bragantino#6Winner: 1.1%Libertadores: 27.4%Libertadores Qualification: 21.8%Copa Sulamericana: 40.1%Relegation: 1.5%
2026-05-16Internacional#15Libertadores: 0.6%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 19.3%Relegation: 44.6%4 - 1Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-05-10Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%1 - 0Athletico-PR#3Winner: 5.9%Libertadores: 62.5%Libertadores Qualification: 19.1%Copa Sulamericana: 17.1%Relegation: 0.1%
2026-05-03Flamengo#2Winner: 15.1%Libertadores: 81.4%Libertadores Qualification: 11.2%Copa Sulamericana: 7.2%2 - 2Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-04-26Corinthians#9Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 9.3%Libertadores Qualification: 13.3%Copa Sulamericana: 47.9%Relegation: 7.0%1 - 0Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-04-18Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%2 - 1São Paulo#13Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 6.4%Libertadores Qualification: 10.1%Copa Sulamericana: 44.7%Relegation: 11.5%
2026-04-11Remo#19Libertadores: 0.3%Libertadores Qualification: 1.2%Copa Sulamericana: 14.8%Relegation: 53.0%1 - 1Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-04-04Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%1 - 2Botafogo#8Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 15.9%Libertadores Qualification: 17.2%Copa Sulamericana: 46.9%Relegation: 3.8%
2026-04-01Coritiba#11Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 4.8%Libertadores Qualification: 8.5%Copa Sulamericana: 44.1%Relegation: 12.6%1 - 1Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-03-22Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%2 - 1Grêmio#16Libertadores: 1.2%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 25.0%Relegation: 35.9%
2026-03-18Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%3 - 2Fluminense#4Winner: 1.8%Libertadores: 35.7%Libertadores Qualification: 23.5%Copa Sulamericana: 34.6%Relegation: 0.6%
2026-03-15Cruzeiro#7Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 13.2%Libertadores Qualification: 16.3%Copa Sulamericana: 48.9%Relegation: 4.0%3 - 3Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-03-12Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%2 - 1Palmeiras#1Winner: 73.9%Libertadores: 98.7%Libertadores Qualification: 1.1%Copa Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-02-26Santos#17Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 3.0%Copa Sulamericana: 26.0%Relegation: 34.7%2 - 1Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%
2026-02-11Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%0 - 1Bahia#5Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 22.3%Libertadores Qualification: 20.6%Copa Sulamericana: 44.5%Relegation: 1.8%
2026-02-05Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%1 - 1Chapecoense#20Copa Sulamericana: 0.4%Relegation: 96.6%
2026-01-29Mirassol#14Libertadores: 2.2%Libertadores Qualification: 4.4%Copa Sulamericana: 31.1%Relegation: 26.8%2 - 1Vasco#18Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 2.2%Copa Sulamericana: 21.1%Relegation: 42.3%