Vasco
Vasco Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 28.7%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #16 · 27 MP
Vasco Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Win
20.2%
Releg
#16
Position
LWLWW
Last 5 matches
Vasco are in realistic contention for Sulamericana at 28.7%, currently ranked 16th — updated after every match.
Live — Updated at
Vasco are 16th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 27 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 28.7% chance of sulamericana — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vasco have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vasco's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-18
- Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-09-20
- Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%
- Sulamericana: 28.7%
- Releg: 20.2%
Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:
More analysis
← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2%3:00 PM
Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8%
3:00 PMCorinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8%61%
16%
Latest News
Santos Secures Safety, São Paulo Eyes Libertadores
Round-up2026-09-19
In an eventful weekend of Brasileirão action, Santos fans can breathe a sigh of relief as their team has now mathematically avoided relegation. With a critical …
Quarterfinals — Leg 2
Knockout Preview2026-09-14
Vasco and Independiente Santa Fe are locked in a 0-0 aggregate stalemate as they head into the second leg of their quarterfinal matchup. Vasco's probability of …
Palmeiras Edges Closer to Glory, São Paulo's Relegation Fears Rise
Round-up2026-09-12
In a weekend of electrifying drama, Palmeiras surged ahead in the Brasileirão title race with a commanding 2-0 victory over São Paulo, propelling them to the to…
Cienciano Gains Upper Hand with 2-0 Win Over Montevideo City Torque
Match Report2026-09-10
Cienciano's 2-0 win against Montevideo City Torque in the first leg of their Copa Sul-Americana quarterfinal tie has significantly bolstered their championship …
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |  | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 5 - 0 |  Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0% |
| 2026-09-15 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 0 | Santa Fe | |
| 2026-09-12 | | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1% | 1 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-09-08 | Santa Fe | 0 - 0 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-09-02 |  | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% | 0 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-09-02 | | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% | 0 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-08-29 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 3 - 1 |  Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 1 - 0 | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 1 - 0 | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% |
| 2026-08-23 | | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% | 4 - 1 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-08-20 | Olimpia | 1 - 4 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | |
| 2026-08-16 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 3 |  Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% |
| 2026-08-13 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 0 | Olimpia | |
| 2026-08-09 | | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% | 0 - 0 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% | 1 - 3 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-08-05 | | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% | 1 - 3 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-08-01 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% |
| 2026-08-01 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 0 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% |
| 2026-07-25 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 1 - 1 |  Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% |
| 2026-07-16 | | Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-05-31 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 1 |  Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1% |
| 2026-05-24 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 3 |  Bragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-05-16 | | Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4% | 4 - 1 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 2 | Paysandu |
| 2026-05-13 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 2 | Paysandu |
| 2026-05-10 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 1 - 0 |  Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | | Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1% | 2 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-04-26 | | Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8% | 1 - 0 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-04-21 | | Paysandu | 0 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-04-21 | | Paysandu | 0 - 2 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-04-18 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 1 |  São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7% |
| 2026-04-11 | | Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7% | 1 - 1 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-04-04 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 1 - 2 |  Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1% |
| 2026-04-01 | | Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0% | 1 - 1 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-03-22 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 1 | Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1% |
| 2026-03-18 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 3 - 2 | Fluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8% |
| 2026-03-15 | | Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0% | 3 - 3 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-03-12 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 2 - 1 | Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8% |
| 2026-02-26 | | Santos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4% | 2 - 1 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |
| 2026-02-11 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 0 - 1 | Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% | 1 - 1 |  Chapecoense#20Releg: 99.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | | Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0% | 2 - 1 | Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2% |