Serie A 25/26 — Round 36 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of access to the Champions League group phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Napoli#2Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.6% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  Roma#4Champions League Groups: 86.6%Europe League Groups: 23.0% | 86.6% |
| 4 |  Milan#3Champions League Groups: 83.3%Europe League Groups: 26.9% | 83.3% |
| 5 |  Juventus#6Champions League Groups: 74.5%Europe League Groups: 22.2% | 74.5% |
| 6 |  Como#5Champions League Groups: 55.7%Europe League Groups: 26.3% | 55.7% |
Probability of access to the Europa League group phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan#3Champions League Groups: 83.3%Europe League Groups: 26.9% | 26.9% |
| 2 | Como#5Champions League Groups: 55.7%Europe League Groups: 26.3% | 26.3% |
| 3 | Roma#4Champions League Groups: 86.6%Europe League Groups: 23.0% | 23.0% |
| 4 | Juventus#6Champions League Groups: 74.5%Europe League Groups: 22.2% | 22.2% |
| 5 | Napoli#2Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.6% | 1.6% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Pisa#20Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 3 |  Cremonese#18Relegation: 74.5% | 74.5% |
| 4 |  Lecce#17Relegation: 25.5% | 25.5% |
Round 36 of 38
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | UCL | UEL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 35 | 82 | 100% | 100% | — | — |
2 | Napoli#2Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.6% | 36 | 70 | — | 100% | 2% | — |
3 | Milan#3Champions League Groups: 83.3%Europe League Groups: 26.9% | 36 | 67 | — | 83% | 27% | — |
4↑1 | Roma#4Champions League Groups: 86.6%Europe League Groups: 23.0% | 36 | 67 | — | 87% | 23% | — |
5↑1 | Como#5Champions League Groups: 55.7%Europe League Groups: 26.3% | 36 | 65 | — | 56% | 26% | — |
6↓2 | Juventus#6Champions League Groups: 74.5%Europe League Groups: 22.2% | 35 | 65 | — | 75% | 22% | — |
7 |  Atalanta#7 | 36 | 58 | — | — | — | — |
8↑1 |  Bologna#8 | 36 | 52 | — | — | — | — |
9↓1 |  Lazio#9 | 35 | 51 | — | — | — | — |
10 |  Sassuolo#10 | 36 | 49 | — | — | — | — |
11 |  Udinese#11 | 35 | 47 | — | — | — | — |
12↑1 |  Torino#12 | 36 | 44 | — | — | — | — |
13↓1 |  Parma#13 | 36 | 42 | — | — | — | — |
14 |  Genoa#14 | 36 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
15↑1 |  Fiorentina#15 | 36 | 38 | — | — | — | — |
16↓1 |  Cagliari#16 | 35 | 37 | — | — | — | — |
17 | Lecce#17Relegation: 25.5% | 35 | 32 | — | — | — | 26% |
18 | Cremonese#18Relegation: 74.5% | 36 | 31 | — | — | — | 75% |
19 | Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 100.0% | 36 | 20 | — | — | — | 100% |
20 | Pisa#20Relegation: 100.0% | 36 | 18 | — | — | — | 100% |
WinnerChampions League GroupsEurope League GroupsRelegation
After Round 36: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Juventus's Champions League Groups probability dropped from 82.9% to 74.5% (-8.4%).
- ↑Milan's Champions League Groups probability climbed from 77.3% to 83.3% (+6%).
- ↑Roma's Champions League Groups probability climbed from 81.2% to 86.6% (+5.4%).
- ↓Lecce's Relegation probability dropped from 29.2% to 25.5% (-3.7%).
- ↑Cremonese's Relegation probability climbed from 70.8% to 74.5% (+3.7%).
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
69%
12%
86%
4%
15%
56%
Serie A 25/26 — Season Outlook
Champions League Groups:
Europe League Groups:
Serie A 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie A 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Inter currently have the highest title probability at 100%. With 2 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie A 25/26?
- Hellas Verona currently faces the highest relegation risk at 100%, followed by Pisa at 100%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie A 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie A 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions