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Roma Champions League Groups Chances 2026 — 100.0%

Serie A 25/26 · Round 38 of 38 · Rank #3 · 38 MP

Roma Serie A 25/26 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#3
Position
WWWWW
Last 5 matches
Roma are the clear favourites for Champions League Groups at 100.0%, currently ranked 3rd — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Roma are 3rd in the Serie A 25/26 2026 season after 38 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 100.0% chance of champions league groups — with 0 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Serie A 25/26 matches, Roma have recorded 5 wins. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Serie A 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Roma's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-03-15
  • Champions League Groups: 100.0%Since 2026-05-24
  • Europe League Groups: 0.0%Since 2026-05-24
  • Conference League Qualifying: 0.0%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-10-26

Serie A 25/26 — Competition Races:

Relegation Battle →Title Race →

← View all Serie A 25/26 standings and odds

See also:

Inter Winner ChancesNapoli Champions League Groups ChancesComo 2026 Season OddsMilan Europe League Groups ChancesJuventus Europe League Groups ChancesAtalanta 2026 Season OddsBologna Conference League Qualifying Chances

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-24Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 100.0%0 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-05-17Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 0Lazio#9
2026-05-10Parma#132 - 3Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-05-04Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%4 - 0Fiorentina#15
2026-04-25Bologna#8Conference League Qualifying: 100.0%0 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-04-18Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%1 - 1Atalanta#7
2026-04-10Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%3 - 0Pisa#20Relegation: 100.0%
2026-04-05Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0%5 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-03-22Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%1 - 0Lecce#17
2026-03-15Como#42 - 1Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-03-08Genoa#162 - 1Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-03-01Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%3 - 3Juventus#6Europe League Groups: 100.0%
2026-02-22Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%3 - 0Cremonese#18Relegation: 100.0%
2026-02-15Napoli#2Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-02-09Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 0Cagliari#14
2026-02-02Udinese#101 - 0Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-01-25Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%1 - 1Milan#5Europe League Groups: 100.0%
2026-01-18Torino#120 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-01-10Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 0Sassuolo#11
2026-01-06Lecce#170 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2026-01-03Atalanta#71 - 0Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-12-29Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%3 - 1Genoa#16
2025-12-20Juventus#6Europe League Groups: 100.0%2 - 1Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-12-15Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%1 - 0Como#4
2025-12-07Cagliari#141 - 0Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-11-30Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%0 - 1Napoli#2Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-11-23Cremonese#18Relegation: 100.0%1 - 3Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-11-09Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 0Udinese#10
2025-11-02Milan#5Europe League Groups: 100.0%1 - 0Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-10-29Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 1Parma#13
2025-10-26Sassuolo#110 - 1Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-10-18Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%0 - 1Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-10-05Fiorentina#151 - 2Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-09-28Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%2 - 0Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 100.0%
2025-09-21Lazio#90 - 1Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-09-14Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%0 - 1Torino#12
2025-08-30Pisa#20Relegation: 100.0%0 - 1Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%
2025-08-23Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0%1 - 0Bologna#8Conference League Qualifying: 100.0%