Roma Relegation Chances
Serie A 26/27
Roma face long odds for relegation, with only a 2.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 12.9% |
| Champions League Groups | 33.7% |
| Europe League Groups | 14.9% |
| Conference League Qualifying | 5.7% |
| Relegation | 2.0% |
Roma are currently 1st in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 1D 0L, 13 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 2%, Roma are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Roma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Roma's probability of relegation has dropped from 3.9% to 2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Roma achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie A 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.