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Roma

Roma Champions League Groups Chances

Serie A 26/27

12.9%
Winner
33.7%
↑ +0.1% since last round
Champions League Groups
14.9%
Europe League Groups
5.7%
Conference League Qualifying
2.0%
Relegation

Roma remain in realistic contention for Champions League qualification at 33.7%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner12.9%
Champions League Groups33.7%
Europe League Groups14.9%
Conference League Qualifying5.7%
Relegation2.0%

Roma are currently 1st in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 1D 0L, 13 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 33.7%, Roma are currently a realistic contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Roma's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Roma's probability of Champions League qualification has climbed from 30.1% to 33.7%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Roma achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Champions League Groups odds for every team

Inter33.3%
Lazio39.6%
Cagliari26.3%
Milan23.4%
Juventus24.1%
Frosinone24.7%
Como23.8%
Napoli12.7%
Sassuolo12.6%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Roma stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.