Serie A 25/26 — Round 34 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
Probability of access to the Champions League group phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter#1Winner: 99.9%Champions League Groups: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 2 |  Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  Milan#3Champions League Groups: 99.5%Europe League Groups: 4.5% | 99.5% |
| 4 |  Juventus#4Champions League Groups: 92.0%Europe League Groups: 22.1% | 92.0% |
| 5 |  Como#5Champions League Groups: 59.9%Europe League Groups: 37.8% | 59.9% |
| 6 |  Roma#6Champions League Groups: 48.3%Europe League Groups: 34.3% | 48.3% |
| 7 |  Atalanta#7Champions League Groups: 0.3%Europe League Groups: 0.3% | 0.3% |
Probability of access to the Europa League group phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como#5Champions League Groups: 59.9%Europe League Groups: 37.8% | 37.8% |
| 2 | Roma#6Champions League Groups: 48.3%Europe League Groups: 34.3% | 34.3% |
| 3 | Juventus#4Champions League Groups: 92.0%Europe League Groups: 22.1% | 22.1% |
| 4 | Milan#3Champions League Groups: 99.5%Europe League Groups: 4.5% | 4.5% |
| 5 | Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 6 | Atalanta#7Champions League Groups: 0.3%Europe League Groups: 0.3% | 0.3% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 2 |  Pisa#20Relegation: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  Cremonese#18Relegation: 66.2% | 66.2% |
| 4 |  Lecce#17Relegation: 33.7% | 33.7% |
| 5 |  Cagliari#16Relegation: 0.1% | 0.1% |
Round 34 of 38
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter#1Winner: 99.9%Champions League Groups: 99.9% | 34 | 79 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | 31 | 49 |
2↑1 | Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0% | 34 | 69 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 |
3↓1 | Milan#3Champions League Groups: 99.5%Europe League Groups: 4.5% | 34 | 67 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 |
4 | Juventus#4Champions League Groups: 92.0%Europe League Groups: 22.1% | 34 | 64 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57 | 29 | 28 |
5 | Como#5Champions League Groups: 59.9%Europe League Groups: 37.8% | 34 | 61 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 |
6 | Roma#6Champions League Groups: 48.3%Europe League Groups: 34.3% | 34 | 61 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 |
7 | Atalanta#7Champions League Groups: 0.3%Europe League Groups: 0.3% | 34 | 54 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 |
8↑1 |  Lazio#8 | 34 | 48 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 |
9↓1 |  Bologna#9 | 34 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 41 | 1 |
10 |  Sassuolo#10 | 34 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 |
11 |  Udinese#11 | 34 | 44 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 |
12↑2 |  Parma#12 | 34 | 42 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 |
13↓1 |  Torino#13 | 34 | 41 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 56 | -17 |
14↓1 |  Genoa#14 | 34 | 39 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 48 | -8 |
15 |  Fiorentina#15 | 34 | 37 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 |
16 | Cagliari#16Relegation: 0.1% | 34 | 36 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 |
17↑1 | Lecce#17Relegation: 33.7% | 34 | 29 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 |
18↓1 | Cremonese#18Relegation: 66.2% | 34 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 |
19 | Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 99.9% | 34 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 |
20 | Pisa#20Relegation: 99.9% | 34 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 61 | -37 |
WinnerChampions League GroupsEurope League GroupsRelegation
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
46%
18%
Juventus#4Champions League Groups: 92.0%Europe League Groups: 22.1%1:00 PMHellas Verona#19Relegation: 99.9%
1:00 PMHellas Verona#19Relegation: 99.9%78%
7%
Serie A 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie A 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Inter currently have the highest title probability at 100%. With 4 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie A 25/26?
- Hellas Verona currently faces the highest relegation risk at 100%, followed by Pisa at 100%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie A 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie A 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions