Serie A 25/26 — Round 38 of 38
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of access to the Champions League group phase
Probability of access to the Europa League group phase
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cremonese#18Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 3 |  Pisa#20Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Round 38 of 38
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | Title | UCL | UEL | Rel |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Inter#1Winner: 100.0%Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 38 | 87 | 100% | 100% | — | — |
2 |  Napoli#2Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 38 | 76 | — | 100% | — | — |
3↑1 |  Roma#3Champions League Groups: 100.0% | 38 | 73 | — | 100% | — | — |
4↑1 |  Como#4 | 38 | 71 | — | — | — | — |
5↓2 |  Milan#5Europe League Groups: 100.0% | 38 | 70 | — | — | 100% | — |
6 |  Juventus#6Europe League Groups: 100.0% | 38 | 69 | — | — | 100% | — |
7 |  Atalanta#7 | 38 | 59 | — | — | — | — |
8 |  Bologna#8 | 38 | 56 | — | — | — | — |
9 |  Lazio#9 | 38 | 54 | — | — | — | — |
10 |  Udinese#10 | 38 | 50 | — | — | — | — |
11 |  Sassuolo#11 | 38 | 49 | — | — | — | — |
12 |  Torino#12 | 38 | 45 | — | — | — | — |
13 |  Parma#13 | 38 | 45 | — | — | — | — |
14↑2 |  Cagliari#14 | 38 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
15 |  Fiorentina#15 | 38 | 42 | — | — | — | — |
16↓2 |  Genoa#16 | 38 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
17 |  Lecce#17 | 38 | 38 | — | — | — | — |
18 | Cremonese#18Relegation: 100.0% | 38 | 34 | — | — | — | 100% |
19 | Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 100.0% | 38 | 21 | — | — | — | 100% |
20 | Pisa#20Relegation: 100.0% | 38 | 18 | — | — | — | 100% |
WinnerChampions League GroupsEurope League GroupsRelegation
After Round 38: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?
- ↓Milan have been mathematically eliminated from Champions League Groups.
- ↑Juventus have mathematically secured Europe League Groups.
- ↓Como have been mathematically eliminated from Champions League Groups.
- ↓Lecce have been mathematically eliminated from Relegation.
- ↑Cremonese have mathematically secured Relegation.
Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation
Serie A 25/26 — Season Outlook
Champions League Groups:
Europe League Groups:
Serie A 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Serie A 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Inter currently have the highest title probability at 100%. With 0 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Serie A 25/26?
- Cremonese currently faces the highest relegation risk at 100%, followed by Hellas Verona at 100%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Serie A 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Serie A 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.
Past editions