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Napoli Champions League Groups Chances 2026 — 99.9%

Serie A 25/26 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #2 · 34 MP

Napoli Serie A 25/26 — Key Insights
0.1%
Winner
0.0%
Relegation
#2
Position
WWDLW
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓

Live — Updated at

Napoli are 2nd in the Serie A 25/26 2026 season after 34 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 99.9% chance of champions league groups — with 4 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Serie A 25/26 matches, Napoli have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their champions league groups probability, Napoli's winner chance currently stands at 0.1%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Serie A 25/26 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Napoli's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.1%
  • Champions League Groups: 99.9%
  • Europe League Groups: 1.0%
  • Relegation: 0.0%Since 2025-10-25

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Como#5Champions League Groups: 59.9%Europe League Groups: 37.8%1:00 PMNapoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
50%
25%
Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%1:00 PMBologna#9
55%
23%
Pisa#20Relegation: 99.9%1:00 PMNapoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
16%
56%
Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%1:00 PMUdinese#11
55%
23%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-24Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%4 - 0Cremonese#18Relegation: 66.2%
2026-04-18Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%0 - 2Lazio#8
2026-04-12Parma#121 - 1Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-04-06Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%1 - 0Milan#3Champions League Groups: 99.5%Europe League Groups: 4.5%
2026-03-20Cagliari#16Relegation: 0.1%0 - 1Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-03-14Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 1Lecce#17Relegation: 33.7%
2026-03-06Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 1Torino#13
2026-02-28Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 99.9%1 - 2Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-02-22Atalanta#7Champions League Groups: 0.3%Europe League Groups: 0.3%2 - 1Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-02-15Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 2Roma#6Champions League Groups: 48.3%Europe League Groups: 34.3%
2026-02-07Genoa#142 - 3Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-01-31Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 1Fiorentina#15
2026-01-25Juventus#4Champions League Groups: 92.0%Europe League Groups: 22.1%3 - 0Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-01-17Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%1 - 0Sassuolo#10
2026-01-14Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%0 - 0Parma#12
2026-01-11Inter#1Winner: 99.9%Champions League Groups: 99.9%2 - 2Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2026-01-07Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 2Hellas Verona#19Relegation: 99.9%
2026-01-04Lazio#80 - 2Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-12-28Cremonese#18Relegation: 66.2%0 - 2Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-12-14Udinese#111 - 0Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-12-07Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 1Juventus#4Champions League Groups: 92.0%Europe League Groups: 22.1%
2025-11-30Roma#6Champions League Groups: 48.3%Europe League Groups: 34.3%0 - 1Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-11-22Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%3 - 1Atalanta#7Champions League Groups: 0.3%Europe League Groups: 0.3%
2025-11-09Bologna#92 - 0Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-11-01Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%0 - 0Como#5Champions League Groups: 59.9%Europe League Groups: 37.8%
2025-10-28Lecce#17Relegation: 33.7%0 - 1Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-10-25Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%3 - 1Inter#1Winner: 99.9%Champions League Groups: 99.9%
2025-10-18Torino#131 - 0Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-10-05Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%2 - 1Genoa#14
2025-09-28Milan#3Champions League Groups: 99.5%Europe League Groups: 4.5%2 - 1Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-09-22Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%3 - 2Pisa#20Relegation: 99.9%
2025-09-13Fiorentina#151 - 3Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%
2025-08-30Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%1 - 0Cagliari#16Relegation: 0.1%
2025-08-23Sassuolo#100 - 2Napoli#2Winner: 0.1%Champions League Groups: 99.9%Europe League Groups: 1.0%