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Napoli

Napoli Champions League Groups Chances

Serie A 26/27

3.6%
Winner
12.8%
↓ -1.2% since last round
Champions League Groups
11.4%
Europe League Groups
6.1%
Conference League Qualifying
9.1%
Relegation

Napoli are an outside contender for Champions League qualification, with a 12.8% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 4 minutes ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner3.6%
Champions League Groups12.8%
Europe League Groups11.4%
Conference League Qualifying6.1%
Relegation9.1%

Napoli are currently 9th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 1D 2L, 7 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 12.8%, Napoli are currently a outside contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Napoli's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Napoli's probability of Champions League qualification has climbed from 11.1% to 12.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Napoli achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Champions League Groups odds for every team

Roma34.0%
Inter33.7%
Lazio39.7%
Cagliari26.4%
Juventus23.9%
Frosinone25.1%
Como24.7%
Milan16.6%
Sassuolo12.8%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Napoli stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.