
Napoli Europe League Groups Chances
Serie A 26/27
Napoli are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 11.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 3.6% |
| Champions League Groups | 12.8% |
| Europe League Groups | 11.4% |
| Conference League Qualifying | 6.1% |
| Relegation | 9.1% |
Napoli are currently 9th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 1D 2L, 7 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 11.4%, Napoli are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Napoli's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Napoli's probability of Europa League qualification has climbed from 9.6% to 11.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Napoli achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie A 26/27 — Europe League Groups odds for every team
| Roma | 14.9% |
| Inter | 15.1% |
| Lazio | 14.7% |
| Cagliari | 15.1% |
| Juventus | 14.5% |
| Frosinone | 14.4% |
| Como | 14.4% |
| Milan | 12.8% |
| Sassuolo | 11.3% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.