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Vitória Sulamericana Chances 2026 — 34.4%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 28 of 38 · Rank #13 · 28 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Vitória Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Win
14.8%
Releg
#13
Position
LLWDL
Last 5 matches
Vitória are in realistic contention for Sulamericana at 34.4%, currently ranked 13th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Vitória are 13th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 28 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 34.4% chance of sulamericana — with 10 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vitória have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vitória's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-29
  • Libertadores: 0.1%
  • Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%
  • Sulamericana: 34.4%
  • Releg: 14.8%

Brasileirão 2026 — Competition Races:

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Coritiba Sulamericana ChancesSantos Sulamericana ChancesSão Paulo Sulamericana ChancesBragantino Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Sulamericana ChancesMirassol 2026 Season OddsCorinthians 2026 Season OddsVasco 2026 Season OddsGrêmio Releg ChancesInternacional Releg Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%11:00 PMChapecoense#20Releg: 99.0%
39%
32%
São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7%12:00 AMVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
41%
30%
Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8%3:00 PMVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
42%
25%
Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%3:00 PMAthletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%
39%
32%
Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0%3:00 PMVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
11%
70%

Latest News

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Round 32 of the knockout stage is upon us, and it's a thrilling time for Brazilian football fans as four enticing matches set the stage for what promises to be a memorable week. With spots in the quarterfinals up for grabs, each team is ready to fight tooth and nail to keep their tournament dreams alive.

Knockout Preview
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See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%1 - 3Cruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0%
2026-09-13Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0%2 - 2Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-09-07Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%1 - 0Grêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%0 - 2Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%0 - 2Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2%
2026-08-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1%2 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilVasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2%1 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilVasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2%1 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%0 - 2Bahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8%
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%1 - 0Botafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%2 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-08-06Copa do BrasilVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%4 - 0Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%
2026-08-06Copa do BrasilVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%4 - 0Athletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%
2026-08-03Copa do BrasilAthletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%2 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-08-03Copa do BrasilAthletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%2 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%0 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7%2 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-07-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo#12Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 1.9%Sulamericana: 51.7%Releg: 6.1%0 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-07-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%1 - 0Vasco#16Pre-Libertadores: 0.5%Sulamericana: 28.7%Releg: 20.2%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASantos#9Libertadores: 3.0%Pre-Libertadores: 12.4%Sulamericana: 72.2%Releg: 0.4%3 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%2 - 0Internacional#18Sulamericana: 5.2%Releg: 63.4%
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino#11Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.0%Sulamericana: 69.5%Releg: 1.7%2 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-05-14Copa do BrasilVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%2 - 0Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
2026-05-14Copa do BrasilVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%2 - 0Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
2026-05-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Win: 0.5%Libertadores: 55.5%Pre-Libertadores: 32.6%Sulamericana: 11.8%2 - 2Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%4 - 1Coritiba#8Libertadores: 1.3%Pre-Libertadores: 7.2%Sulamericana: 71.7%Releg: 1.0%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR#3Win: 1.2%Libertadores: 69.5%Pre-Libertadores: 24.5%Sulamericana: 6.0%3 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-04-22Copa do BrasilFlamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%2 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-04-22Copa do BrasilFlamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%2 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%0 - 0Corinthians#15Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 26.5%Releg: 21.8%
2026-04-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%2 - 0São Paulo#10Libertadores: 1.4%Pre-Libertadores: 6.9%Sulamericana: 68.7%Releg: 1.7%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AChapecoense#20Releg: 99.0%1 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#6Win: 0.1%Libertadores: 28.3%Pre-Libertadores: 40.5%Sulamericana: 31.0%3 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%1 - 0Mirassol#14Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 23.6%Releg: 24.0%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#17Sulamericana: 8.0%Releg: 52.1%2 - 0Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-03-14Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%2 - 0Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 8.2%Pre-Libertadores: 23.4%Sulamericana: 63.8%Releg: 0.1%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia#5Win: 0.2%Libertadores: 32.0%Pre-Libertadores: 41.0%Sulamericana: 26.8%1 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-02-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%1 - 2Flamengo#1Win: 71.1%Libertadores: 99.9%Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 27.0%Libertadores: 99.2%Pre-Libertadores: 0.8%5 - 1Vitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#13Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 0.7%Sulamericana: 34.4%Releg: 14.8%2 - 0Remo#19Sulamericana: 0.3%Releg: 93.7%