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Vitória Releg Chances 2026: 23.4%

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 34 of 38 · Rank #15 · 33 MP

BrasileirãoCopa do Brasil
Vitória Brasileirão 2026: Key Insights
0.0%
Win
23.4%
Releg
#15
Position
WLDDL
Last 5 matches
Vitória are in realistic contention for Releg at 23.4%, currently ranked 15th, updated after every match.

Updated at

Vitória are 15th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 33 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 23.4% chance of releg. With 4 rounds still to play, the final table is far from settled.

In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Vitória have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs hundreds of thousands of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures, taking in every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Vitória's 2026 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 0.0%Since 2026-07-29
  • Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-10-10
  • Pre-Libertadores: 0.0%Since 2026-10-24
  • Sulamericana: 18.4%
  • Releg: 23.4%

Brasileirão 2026: Competition Races

Title Race →Relegation Battle →

More analysis

Win →Libertadores →Pre-Libertadores →Sulamericana →Releg →Recent form →Upcoming Fixtures →

← View all Brasileirão 2026 standings and odds

See also:

São Paulo Sulamericana ChancesBotafogo Sulamericana ChancesCoritiba Sulamericana ChancesVasco 2026 Season OddsMirassol 2026 Season OddsInternacional 2026 Season OddsCorinthians Releg ChancesGrêmio Releg ChancesRemo Releg ChancesChapecoense Releg Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%11:00 PMFluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%
43%29%28%
Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%10:30 PMBragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7%
46%31%23%
Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%10:30 PMVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
57%26%16%
Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%3:00 PMSantos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%
42%28%30%
Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%3:00 PMVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
57%25%18%

Latest News

Coritiba's Victory Diminishes Relegation Threat

Coritiba's Victory Diminishes Relegation Threat

Match Report
2026-10-31

Coritiba's 2-0 victory over Vitória in Round 33 significantly altered their championship probabilities. Pre-match, Coritiba faced a 6.5% chance of relegation, b…

Corinthians Stumble as Relegation Fears Grow

Corinthians Stumble as Relegation Fears Grow

Match Report
2026-10-19

In a tense clash at the Neo Química Arena, Corinthians managed only a 1-1 draw against Vitória, a result that leaves them precariously close to the relegation z…

São Paulo's Victory Sparks Hope, Remo's Relegation Woes Deepen

São Paulo's Victory Sparks Hope, Remo's Relegation Woes Deepen

Round-up
2026-10-10

In a thrilling encounter at Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo secured a crucial 2-1 victory over Vitória, dramatically altering the landscape of their season. This …

Bahia's Glorious Surge Toward Libertadores Glory

Bahia's Glorious Surge Toward Libertadores Glory

Match Report
2026-09-14

In a match brimming with intensity and fervor, Bahia triumphed over Remo with a 2-1 victory in Round 27, setting the stage for what could be a spectacular finis…

See all →

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-10-31Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACoritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-10-24Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 1Athletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%
2026-10-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACorinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3%1 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-10-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASão Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%2 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-10-07Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%4 - 0Chapecoense#20Releg: 100.0%
2026-09-20Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 3Cruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2%
2026-09-13Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AMirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%2 - 2Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-09-07Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 0Grêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%
2026-09-02Copa do BrasilVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%0 - 2Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%
2026-08-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAtlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%2 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-08-26Copa do BrasilVasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%1 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-08-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%0 - 2Bahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4%
2026-08-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 0Botafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1%
2026-08-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFlamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-08-06Copa do BrasilVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%4 - 0Athletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%
2026-08-03Copa do BrasilAthletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-07-29Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%0 - 4Palmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-07-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ARemo#19Releg: 100.0%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-07-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABotafogo#11Sulamericana: 55.5%Releg: 2.1%0 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-07-16Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 0Vasco#13Pre-Libertadores: 0.1%Sulamericana: 59.3%Releg: 2.7%
2026-05-30Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ASantos#9Libertadores: 0.1%Pre-Libertadores: 2.2%Sulamericana: 95.1%3 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-05-23Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%2 - 0Internacional#16Sulamericana: 7.7%Releg: 40.5%
2026-05-17Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABragantino#8Libertadores: 0.2%Pre-Libertadores: 4.2%Sulamericana: 94.7%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-05-14Copa do BrasilVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%2 - 0Flamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-05-09Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AFluminense#4Libertadores: 52.8%Pre-Libertadores: 41.8%Sulamericana: 5.4%2 - 2Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-05-02Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%4 - 1Coritiba#12Sulamericana: 49.0%Releg: 2.3%
2026-04-26Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AAthletico-PR#5Libertadores: 26.9%Pre-Libertadores: 62.5%Sulamericana: 10.5%3 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-04-22Copa do BrasilFlamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%2 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-04-18Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%0 - 0Corinthians#17Sulamericana: 4.6%Releg: 54.3%
2026-04-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%2 - 0São Paulo#10Pre-Libertadores: 0.3%Sulamericana: 84.8%
2026-04-05Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AChapecoense#20Releg: 100.0%1 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-04-01Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ACruzeiro#3Libertadores: 87.5%Pre-Libertadores: 12.3%Sulamericana: 0.2%3 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-03-22Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 0Mirassol#14Sulamericana: 20.7%Releg: 15.2%
2026-03-19Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AGrêmio#18Sulamericana: 3.2%Releg: 59.4%2 - 0Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-03-14Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%2 - 0Atlético-MG#7Libertadores: 2.8%Pre-Libertadores: 22.8%Sulamericana: 74.4%
2026-03-11Campeonato Brasileiro, Série ABahia#6Libertadores: 29.7%Pre-Libertadores: 53.9%Sulamericana: 16.4%1 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-02-10Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%1 - 2Flamengo#1Win: 80.9%Libertadores: 100.0%
2026-02-04Campeonato Brasileiro, Série APalmeiras#2Win: 19.1%Libertadores: 100.0%5 - 1Vitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%
2026-01-28Campeonato Brasileiro, Série AVitória#15Sulamericana: 18.4%Releg: 23.4%2 - 0Remo#19Releg: 100.0%