Chapecoense
Chapecoense Relegation Chances 2026 — 58.7%
Brasileirão 2026 · Round 13 of 38 · Rank #20 · 12 MP
Chapecoense Brasileirão 2026 — Key Insights
0.0%
Winner
58.7%
Relegation
#20
Position
LDLLL
Last 5 matches
Explore detailed analysis below ↓
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Chapecoense are 20th in the Brasileirão 2026 2026 season after 12 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 58.7% chance of relegation — with 25 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Brasileirão 2026 matches, Chapecoense have recorded 1 draw, 4 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Brasileirão 2026 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Chapecoense's 2026 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Winner: 0.0%Since 2026-04-26
- Libertadores: 0.8%
- Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%
- Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%
- Relegation: 58.7%
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%9:30 PM
Bragantino#9Winner: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.1%Libertadores Qualification: 10.9%Copa Sulamericana: 40.9%Relegation: 13.9%
9:30 PMBragantino#9Winner: 0.8%Libertadores: 10.1%Libertadores Qualification: 10.9%Copa Sulamericana: 40.9%Relegation: 13.9%18%
63%
Mirassol#18Winner: 0.1%Libertadores: 1.3%Libertadores Qualification: 2.3%Copa Sulamericana: 18.5%Relegation: 50.8%
9:30 PMChapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%
9:30 PMChapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%23%
54%
Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%9:30 PM
Remo#19Libertadores: 0.4%Libertadores Qualification: 1.0%Copa Sulamericana: 10.7%Relegation: 66.4%
9:30 PMRemo#19Libertadores: 0.4%Libertadores Qualification: 1.0%Copa Sulamericana: 10.7%Relegation: 66.4%18%
63%
Cruzeiro#11Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.2%Libertadores Qualification: 8.6%Copa Sulamericana: 37.9%Relegation: 18.9%
7:00 PMChapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%
7:00 PMChapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%50%
28%
Palmeiras#1Winner: 46.3%Libertadores: 86.9%Libertadores Qualification: 7.6%Copa Sulamericana: 5.2%
3:00 PMChapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%
3:00 PMChapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7%72%
9%
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Fluminense#3Winner: 12.6%Libertadores: 56.4%Libertadores Qualification: 17.6%Copa Sulamericana: 22.0%Relegation: 0.5% | 2 - 1 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% |
| 2026-04-18 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 1 - 4 |  Botafogo#8Winner: 1.4%Libertadores: 14.6%Libertadores Qualification: 13.3%Copa Sulamericana: 41.4%Relegation: 10.1% |
| 2026-04-12 | Athletico-PR#5Winner: 4.5%Libertadores: 31.7%Libertadores Qualification: 18.7%Copa Sulamericana: 36.5%Relegation: 2.8% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% |
| 2026-04-05 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 1 - 1 |  Vitória#13Winner: 0.7%Libertadores: 8.4%Libertadores Qualification: 9.3%Copa Sulamericana: 37.9%Relegation: 18.0% |
| 2026-04-02 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 0 - 4 |  Atlético-MG#15Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 4.3%Libertadores Qualification: 6.0%Copa Sulamericana: 32.1%Relegation: 27.6% |
| 2026-03-22 | Internacional#16Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 4.0%Libertadores Qualification: 5.6%Copa Sulamericana: 31.4%Relegation: 28.8% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% |
| 2026-03-19 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 0 - 0 |  Corinthians#14Winner: 0.3%Libertadores: 5.2%Libertadores Qualification: 6.9%Copa Sulamericana: 34.4%Relegation: 24.2% |
| 2026-03-16 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 1 - 1 |  Grêmio#12Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.7%Copa Sulamericana: 38.3%Relegation: 18.3% |
| 2026-03-12 | São Paulo#4Winner: 5.8%Libertadores: 37.1%Libertadores Qualification: 19.2%Copa Sulamericana: 33.5%Relegation: 2.0% | 2 - 0 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% |
| 2026-02-11 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 3 - 3 |  Coritiba#7Winner: 1.6%Libertadores: 16.0%Libertadores Qualification: 14.2%Copa Sulamericana: 42.3%Relegation: 8.3% |
| 2026-02-05 | Vasco#10Winner: 0.5%Libertadores: 7.4%Libertadores Qualification: 8.9%Copa Sulamericana: 38.2%Relegation: 18.3% | 1 - 1 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% |
| 2026-01-28 | Chapecoense#20Libertadores: 0.8%Libertadores Qualification: 1.6%Copa Sulamericana: 14.5%Relegation: 58.7% | 4 - 2 |  Santos#17Winner: 0.2%Libertadores: 3.9%Libertadores Qualification: 5.6%Copa Sulamericana: 31.2%Relegation: 29.0% |