Who will win the Championship 26/27?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Birmingham City currently have the highest title probability at 4%. With 46 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 26/27?

Birmingham City currently faces the highest relegation risk at 13%, followed by Blackburn Rovers at 13%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate Championship 26/27 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the Championship 26/27 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Championship 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham City#1Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
2	Blackburn Rovers#2Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
3	Bolton#3Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
4	Bristol City#4Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
5	Burnley#5Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
6	Cardiff#6Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
7	Charlton Athletic#7Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
8	Derby County#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
9	Lincoln#9Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
10	Middlesbrough#10Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
11	Millwall#11Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
12	Norwich City#12Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
13	Portsmouth#13Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
14	Preston North End#14Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
15	Queens Park Rangers#15Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
16	Sheffield United#16Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
17	Stoke City#17Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
18	Swansea City#18Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
19	Watford#19Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
20	West Bromwich Albion#20Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
21	West Ham#21Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
22	Wolverhampton#22Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
23	Wrexham#23Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%
24	Southampton#24Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4.2%

Probability of being promoted to the first division

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham City#1Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
2	Blackburn Rovers#2Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
3	Bolton#3Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
4	Bristol City#4Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
5	Burnley#5Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
6	Cardiff#6Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
7	Charlton Athletic#7Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
8	Derby County#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
9	Lincoln#9Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
10	Middlesbrough#10Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
11	Millwall#11Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
12	Norwich City#12Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
13	Portsmouth#13Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
14	Preston North End#14Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
15	Queens Park Rangers#15Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
16	Sheffield United#16Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
17	Stoke City#17Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
18	Swansea City#18Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
19	Watford#19Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
20	West Bromwich Albion#20Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
21	West Ham#21Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
22	Wolverhampton#22Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
23	Wrexham#23Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%
24	Southampton#24Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	8.3%

Chances of participation in the playoff phase

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham City#1Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
2	Blackburn Rovers#2Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
3	Bolton#3Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
4	Bristol City#4Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
5	Burnley#5Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
6	Cardiff#6Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
7	Charlton Athletic#7Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
8	Derby County#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
9	Lincoln#9Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
10	Middlesbrough#10Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
11	Millwall#11Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
12	Norwich City#12Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
13	Portsmouth#13Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
14	Preston North End#14Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
15	Queens Park Rangers#15Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
16	Sheffield United#16Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
17	Stoke City#17Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
18	Swansea City#18Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
19	Watford#19Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
20	West Bromwich Albion#20Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
21	West Ham#21Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
22	Wolverhampton#22Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
23	Wrexham#23Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%
24	Southampton#24Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	16.7%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	Birmingham City#1Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
2	Blackburn Rovers#2Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
3	Bolton#3Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
4	Bristol City#4Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
5	Burnley#5Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
6	Cardiff#6Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
7	Charlton Athletic#7Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
8	Derby County#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
9	Lincoln#9Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
10	Middlesbrough#10Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
11	Millwall#11Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
12	Norwich City#12Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
13	Portsmouth#13Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
14	Preston North End#14Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
15	Queens Park Rangers#15Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
16	Sheffield United#16Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
17	Stoke City#17Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
18	Swansea City#18Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
19	Watford#19Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
20	West Bromwich Albion#20Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
21	West Ham#21Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
22	Wolverhampton#22Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
23	Wrexham#23Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%
24	Southampton#24Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	12.5%

Round 0 of 46 — Standings

#	Team	Title	Promo	PO	Rel
1	Birmingham City#1Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
2	Blackburn Rovers#2Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
3	Bolton#3Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
4	Bristol City#4Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
5	Burnley#5Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
6	Cardiff#6Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
7	Charlton Athletic#7Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
8	Derby County#8Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
9	Lincoln#9Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
10	Middlesbrough#10Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
11	Millwall#11Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
12	Norwich City#12Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
13	Portsmouth#13Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
14	Preston North End#14Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
15	Queens Park Rangers#15Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
16	Sheffield United#16Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
17	Stoke City#17Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
18	Swansea City#18Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
19	Watford#19Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
20	West Bromwich Albion#20Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
21	West Ham#21Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
22	Wolverhampton#22Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
23	Wrexham#23Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%
24	Southampton#24Winner: 4.2%Promotion: 8.3%Playoff: 16.7%Relegation: 12.5%	4%	8%	17%	13%

WinnerPromotionPlayoffRelegation

Championship 26/27 — Season Outlook

Winner:

Birmingham City Winner Chances (4.2%)Blackburn Rovers Winner Chances (4.2%)Bolton Winner Chances (4.2%)Bristol City Winner Chances (4.2%)Burnley Winner Chances (4.2%)Cardiff Winner Chances (4.2%)

Promotion:

Birmingham City Promotion Chances (8.3%)Blackburn Rovers Promotion Chances (8.3%)Bolton Promotion Chances (8.3%)Bristol City Promotion Chances (8.3%)Burnley Promotion Chances (8.3%)Cardiff Promotion Chances (8.3%)

Playoff:

Birmingham City Playoff Chances (16.7%)Blackburn Rovers Playoff Chances (16.7%)Bolton Playoff Chances (16.7%)Bristol City Playoff Chances (16.7%)Burnley Playoff Chances (16.7%)Cardiff Playoff Chances (16.7%)

Relegation:

Birmingham City Relegation Chances (12.5%)Blackburn Rovers Relegation Chances (12.5%)Bolton Relegation Chances (12.5%)Bristol City Relegation Chances (12.5%)Burnley Relegation Chances (12.5%)Cardiff Relegation Chances (12.5%)

Championship 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Championship 26/27?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Birmingham City currently have the highest title probability at 4%. With 46 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 26/27?: Birmingham City currently faces the highest relegation risk at 13%, followed by Blackburn Rovers at 13%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Championship 26/27 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Championship 26/27 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions

Championship 25/26