Championship 25/26 — Round 45 of 46
Updated at
Probability of winning the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City#1Winner: 100.0%Promotion: 100.0% | 100.0% |
Probability of being promoted to the first division
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City#1Winner: 100.0%Promotion: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town#2Promotion: 72.7%Playoff: 27.3% | 72.7% |
| 3 |  Millwall#3Promotion: 16.6%Playoff: 83.4% | 16.6% |
| 4 |  Middlesbrough#4Promotion: 7.3%Playoff: 92.7% | 7.3% |
| 5 |  Southampton#5Promotion: 3.4%Playoff: 96.6% | 3.4% |
Chances of participation in the playoff phase
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton#5Promotion: 3.4%Playoff: 96.6% | 96.6% |
| 2 | Middlesbrough#4Promotion: 7.3%Playoff: 92.7% | 92.7% |
| 3 | Millwall#3Promotion: 16.6%Playoff: 83.4% | 83.4% |
| 4 |  Wrexham#6Playoff: 52.0% | 52.0% |
| 5 |  Hull City#7Playoff: 29.6% | 29.6% |
| 6 | Ipswich Town#2Promotion: 72.7%Playoff: 27.3% | 27.3% |
| 7 |  Derby County#8Playoff: 18.4% | 18.4% |
Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship
| # | Team | % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 |  Leicester City#23Relegation: 99.9% | 99.9% |
| 3 |  Sheffield Wednesday#24Relegation: 99.9% | 99.9% |
Round 45 of 46
Standings
| # | Team | MP | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Coventry City#1Winner: 100.0%Promotion: 100.0% | 45 | 92 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 93 | 45 | 48 |
2↑1 | Ipswich Town#2Promotion: 72.7%Playoff: 27.3% | 44 | 80 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 |
3↓1 | Millwall#3Promotion: 16.6%Playoff: 83.4% | 45 | 80 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 62 | 49 | 13 |
4↑1 | Middlesbrough#4Promotion: 7.3%Playoff: 92.7% | 45 | 79 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 |
5↓1 | Southampton#5Promotion: 3.4%Playoff: 96.6% | 44 | 76 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 |
6 | Wrexham#6Playoff: 52.0% | 45 | 70 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 67 | 63 | 4 |
7 | Hull City#7Playoff: 29.6% | 45 | 70 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 68 | 65 | 3 |
8 | Derby County#8Playoff: 18.4% | 45 | 69 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 66 | 57 | 9 |
9 |  Norwich City#9 | 45 | 65 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 62 | 54 | 8 |
10↑4 |  Birmingham City#10 | 45 | 63 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 56 | 55 | 1 |
11↓1 |  Swansea City#11 | 45 | 61 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 |
12↑4 |  Preston North End#12 | 45 | 60 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54 | 59 | -5 |
13↓2 |  Bristol City#13 | 45 | 59 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 59 | -2 |
14↓2 |  Queens Park Rangers#14 | 45 | 58 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 61 | 70 | -9 |
15↓2 |  Sheffield United#15 | 45 | 57 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 |
16↓1 |  Watford#16 | 45 | 57 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 |
17 |  Stoke City#17 | 45 | 55 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 51 | 54 | -3 |
18↑1 |  Portsmouth#18 | 45 | 54 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 48 | 63 | -15 |
19↓1 |  West Bromwich Albion#19 | 45 | 53 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 |
20 |  Charlton Athletic#20 | 45 | 53 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 55 | -12 |
21 |  Blackburn Rovers#21 | 45 | 52 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42 | 55 | -13 |
22 | Oxford United#22Relegation: 100.0% | 45 | 47 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 |
23 | Leicester City#23Relegation: 99.9% | 45 | 43 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 |
24 | Sheffield Wednesday#24Relegation: 99.9% | 45 | -3 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 27 | 88 | -61 |
WinnerPromotionPlayoffRelegation
Current Playoff Winner Prediction
Available after round 31.
#4 Middlesbrough→Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
46%
28%
42%
29%
43%
30%
27%
50%
64%
14%
47%
26%
48%
22%
31%
46%
19%
54%
46%
27%
Championship 25/26 — Frequently Asked Questions
- Who will win the Championship 25/26?
- Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Coventry City currently have the highest title probability at 100%. With 1 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
- Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Championship 25/26?
- Oxford United currently faces the highest relegation risk at 100%, followed by Leicester City at 100%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
- How does CupChances calculate Championship 25/26 probabilities?
- Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
- How often are the Championship 25/26 predictions updated?
- Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.