Who will win the Premier League 26/27?

Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Arsenal currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.

Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Premier League 26/27?

Arsenal currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Aston Villa at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.

How does CupChances calculate Premier League 26/27 probabilities?

Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.

How often are the Premier League 26/27 predictions updated?

Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Premier League 26/27

Preview edition

Probability of winning the championship

#	Team	%
1	Arsenal#1Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
2	Aston Villa#2Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
3	Bournemouth#3Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
4	Brentford#4Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
5	Brighton#5Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
6	Chelsea#6Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
7	Coventry City#7Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
8	Crystal Palace#8Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
9	Everton#9Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
10	Fulham#10Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
11	Hull City#11Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
12	Ipswich Town#12Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
13	Leeds United#13Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
14	Liverpool#14Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
15	Manchester City#15Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
16	Manchester United#16Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
17	Newcastle#17Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
18	Nottingham Forest#18Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
19	Sunderland#19Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
20	Tottenham#20Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%

Probability of qualifying for the Champions League

#	Team	%
1	Arsenal#1Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
2	Aston Villa#2Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
3	Bournemouth#3Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
4	Brentford#4Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
5	Brighton#5Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
6	Chelsea#6Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
7	Coventry City#7Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
8	Crystal Palace#8Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
9	Everton#9Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
10	Fulham#10Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
11	Hull City#11Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
12	Ipswich Town#12Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
13	Leeds United#13Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
14	Liverpool#14Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
15	Manchester City#15Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
16	Manchester United#16Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
17	Newcastle#17Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
18	Nottingham Forest#18Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
19	Sunderland#19Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%
20	Tottenham#20Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	20.0%

Probability of qualifying for the Europa League

#	Team	%
1	Arsenal#1Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
2	Aston Villa#2Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
3	Bournemouth#3Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
4	Brentford#4Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
5	Brighton#5Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
6	Chelsea#6Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
7	Coventry City#7Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
8	Crystal Palace#8Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
9	Everton#9Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
10	Fulham#10Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
11	Hull City#11Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
12	Ipswich Town#12Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
13	Leeds United#13Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
14	Liverpool#14Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
15	Manchester City#15Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
16	Manchester United#16Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
17	Newcastle#17Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
18	Nottingham Forest#18Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
19	Sunderland#19Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%
20	Tottenham#20Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5.0%

Probability of being relegated at the end of the championship

#	Team	%
1	Arsenal#1Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
2	Aston Villa#2Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
3	Bournemouth#3Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
4	Brentford#4Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
5	Brighton#5Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
6	Chelsea#6Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
7	Coventry City#7Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
8	Crystal Palace#8Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
9	Everton#9Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
10	Fulham#10Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
11	Hull City#11Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
12	Ipswich Town#12Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
13	Leeds United#13Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
14	Liverpool#14Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
15	Manchester City#15Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
16	Manchester United#16Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
17	Newcastle#17Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
18	Nottingham Forest#18Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
19	Sunderland#19Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%
20	Tottenham#20Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	15.0%

Round 0 of 38 — Standings

#	Team	Title	UCL	UEL	Rel
1	Arsenal#1Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
2	Aston Villa#2Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
3	Bournemouth#3Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
4	Brentford#4Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
5	Brighton#5Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
6	Chelsea#6Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
7	Coventry City#7Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
8	Crystal Palace#8Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
9	Everton#9Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
10	Fulham#10Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
11	Hull City#11Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
12	Ipswich Town#12Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
13	Leeds United#13Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
14	Liverpool#14Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
15	Manchester City#15Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
16	Manchester United#16Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
17	Newcastle#17Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
18	Nottingham Forest#18Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
19	Sunderland#19Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%
20	Tottenham#20Winner: 5.0%Champions League: 20.0%Europa League: 5.0%Relegation: 15.0%	5%	20%	5%	15%

WinnerChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Premier League 26/27 — Season Outlook

Winner:

Arsenal Winner Chances (5.0%)Aston Villa Winner Chances (5.0%)Bournemouth Winner Chances (5.0%)Brentford Winner Chances (5.0%)Brighton Winner Chances (5.0%)Chelsea Winner Chances (5.0%)

Champions League:

Arsenal Champions League Chances (20.0%)Aston Villa Champions League Chances (20.0%)Bournemouth Champions League Chances (20.0%)Brentford Champions League Chances (20.0%)Brighton Champions League Chances (20.0%)Chelsea Champions League Chances (20.0%)

Europa League:

Arsenal Europa League Chances (5.0%)Aston Villa Europa League Chances (5.0%)Bournemouth Europa League Chances (5.0%)Brentford Europa League Chances (5.0%)Brighton Europa League Chances (5.0%)Chelsea Europa League Chances (5.0%)

Relegation:

Arsenal Relegation Chances (15.0%)Aston Villa Relegation Chances (15.0%)Bournemouth Relegation Chances (15.0%)Brentford Relegation Chances (15.0%)Brighton Relegation Chances (15.0%)Chelsea Relegation Chances (15.0%)

Premier League 26/27 — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the Premier League 26/27?: Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Arsenal currently have the highest title probability at 5%. With 38 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the Premier League 26/27?: Arsenal currently faces the highest relegation risk at 15%, followed by Aston Villa at 15%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate Premier League 26/27 probabilities?: Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the Premier League 26/27 predictions updated?: Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions

Premier League 25/26